Risk Factors
A healthier America depends on numerous factors, including making changes in lifestyle and health-related behavior and treatments. The risk factor categories below show the baseline projected data for each category and the projected data to achieve the optimistic course in the study.
|
Obesity
Smoking
Alcohol
Overweight
Physical Activity
Cholesterol
Air Quality
Illicit Drug Use
|
| |
Diets High in Cholesterol
Represents the percentage of total population who reported having been checked for the condition and were told they had high blood cholesterol.
| |
|
1987 |
1988 |
1989 |
1990 |
1991 |
1992 |
1993 |
1994 |
1995 |
1996 |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
| United States |
Baseline |
7.93%
|
11.12%
|
14.16%
|
15.70%
|
16.92%
|
17.97%
|
19.43%
|
19.36%
|
19.28%
|
19.60%
|
19.91%
|
20.61%
|
21.30%
|
26.12%
|
30.93%
|
32.25%
|
33.56%
|
34.92%
|
36.29%
|
37.45%
|
38.30%
|
39.00%
|
39.40%
|
39.80%
|
40.00%
|
40.15%
|
40.40%
|
40.70%
|
41.00%
|
41.30%
|
41.60%
|
41.85%
|
42.00%
|
42.15%
|
42.20%
|
42.22%
|
42.23%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.93%
|
11.12%
|
14.16%
|
15.70%
|
16.92%
|
17.97%
|
19.43%
|
19.36%
|
19.28%
|
19.60%
|
19.91%
|
20.61%
|
21.30%
|
26.12%
|
30.93%
|
32.25%
|
33.56%
|
34.92%
|
36.09%
|
36.87%
|
37.60%
|
38.00%
|
38.15%
|
37.85%
|
37.25%
|
36.50%
|
35.40%
|
34.12%
|
33.40%
|
32.75%
|
32.30%
|
32.00%
|
31.80%
|
31.70%
|
31.60%
|
31.55%
|
31.50%
|
| Alabama |
Baseline |
8.43%
|
11.81%
|
15.05%
|
16.68%
|
17.98%
|
19.09%
|
20.64%
|
20.56%
|
20.49%
|
20.82%
|
21.15%
|
21.89%
|
22.63%
|
27.75%
|
32.86%
|
34.44%
|
36.01%
|
37.47%
|
38.94%
|
40.18%
|
41.10%
|
41.85%
|
42.28%
|
42.71%
|
42.92%
|
43.08%
|
43.35%
|
43.67%
|
43.99%
|
44.32%
|
44.64%
|
44.91%
|
45.07%
|
45.23%
|
45.28%
|
45.30%
|
45.31%
|
| |
Optimistic |
8.43%
|
11.81%
|
15.05%
|
16.68%
|
17.98%
|
19.09%
|
20.64%
|
20.56%
|
20.49%
|
20.82%
|
21.15%
|
21.89%
|
22.63%
|
27.75%
|
32.86%
|
34.44%
|
36.01%
|
37.47%
|
38.73%
|
39.56%
|
40.35%
|
40.78%
|
40.94%
|
40.61%
|
39.97%
|
39.17%
|
37.99%
|
36.61%
|
35.84%
|
35.14%
|
34.66%
|
34.34%
|
34.12%
|
34.02%
|
33.91%
|
33.85%
|
33.80%
|
| Alaska |
Baseline |
7.37%
|
10.33%
|
13.16%
|
14.59%
|
15.72%
|
16.69%
|
18.05%
|
17.98%
|
17.91%
|
18.21%
|
18.50%
|
19.14%
|
19.79%
|
24.26%
|
28.73%
|
28.17%
|
27.60%
|
28.72%
|
29.85%
|
30.80%
|
31.50%
|
32.08%
|
32.41%
|
32.74%
|
32.90%
|
33.02%
|
33.23%
|
33.48%
|
33.72%
|
33.97%
|
34.22%
|
34.42%
|
34.55%
|
34.67%
|
34.71%
|
34.73%
|
34.73%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.37%
|
10.33%
|
13.16%
|
14.59%
|
15.72%
|
16.69%
|
18.05%
|
17.98%
|
17.91%
|
18.21%
|
18.50%
|
19.14%
|
19.79%
|
24.26%
|
28.73%
|
28.17%
|
27.60%
|
28.72%
|
29.68%
|
30.33%
|
30.93%
|
31.26%
|
31.38%
|
31.13%
|
30.64%
|
30.02%
|
29.12%
|
28.06%
|
27.47%
|
26.94%
|
26.57%
|
26.32%
|
26.16%
|
26.07%
|
25.99%
|
25.95%
|
25.91%
|
| Arizona |
Baseline |
7.78%
|
10.91%
|
13.90%
|
15.40%
|
16.60%
|
17.63%
|
19.06%
|
18.99%
|
18.92%
|
19.23%
|
19.54%
|
20.22%
|
20.90%
|
25.62%
|
30.35%
|
32.49%
|
34.64%
|
36.04%
|
37.45%
|
38.65%
|
39.53%
|
40.25%
|
40.66%
|
41.08%
|
41.28%
|
41.44%
|
41.70%
|
42.01%
|
42.32%
|
42.63%
|
42.93%
|
43.19%
|
43.35%
|
43.50%
|
43.55%
|
43.57%
|
43.59%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.78%
|
10.91%
|
13.90%
|
15.40%
|
16.60%
|
17.63%
|
19.06%
|
18.99%
|
18.92%
|
19.23%
|
19.54%
|
20.22%
|
20.90%
|
25.62%
|
30.35%
|
32.49%
|
34.64%
|
36.04%
|
37.25%
|
38.05%
|
38.81%
|
39.22%
|
39.37%
|
39.06%
|
38.45%
|
37.67%
|
36.54%
|
35.21%
|
34.47%
|
33.80%
|
33.34%
|
33.03%
|
32.82%
|
32.72%
|
32.61%
|
32.56%
|
32.51%
|
| Arkansas |
Baseline |
7.66%
|
10.74%
|
13.68%
|
15.17%
|
16.34%
|
17.36%
|
18.77%
|
18.70%
|
18.63%
|
18.93%
|
19.23%
|
19.91%
|
20.58%
|
25.23%
|
29.88%
|
32.33%
|
34.78%
|
36.19%
|
37.61%
|
38.81%
|
39.69%
|
40.42%
|
40.83%
|
41.25%
|
41.46%
|
41.61%
|
41.87%
|
42.18%
|
42.49%
|
42.80%
|
43.11%
|
43.37%
|
43.53%
|
43.68%
|
43.74%
|
43.76%
|
43.77%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.66%
|
10.74%
|
13.68%
|
15.17%
|
16.34%
|
17.36%
|
18.77%
|
18.70%
|
18.63%
|
18.93%
|
19.23%
|
19.91%
|
20.58%
|
25.23%
|
29.88%
|
32.33%
|
34.78%
|
36.19%
|
37.40%
|
38.21%
|
38.97%
|
39.38%
|
39.54%
|
39.23%
|
38.61%
|
37.83%
|
36.69%
|
35.36%
|
34.62%
|
33.94%
|
33.48%
|
33.16%
|
32.96%
|
32.85%
|
32.75%
|
32.70%
|
32.65%
|
| California |
Baseline |
8.12%
|
11.38%
|
14.51%
|
16.08%
|
17.33%
|
18.40%
|
19.90%
|
19.82%
|
19.75%
|
20.07%
|
20.39%
|
21.10%
|
21.82%
|
26.75%
|
31.68%
|
32.17%
|
32.67%
|
33.99%
|
35.32%
|
36.45%
|
37.28%
|
37.96%
|
38.35%
|
38.74%
|
38.93%
|
39.08%
|
39.32%
|
39.62%
|
39.91%
|
40.20%
|
40.49%
|
40.73%
|
40.88%
|
41.03%
|
41.08%
|
41.10%
|
41.10%
|
| |
Optimistic |
8.12%
|
11.38%
|
14.51%
|
16.08%
|
17.33%
|
18.40%
|
19.90%
|
19.82%
|
19.75%
|
20.07%
|
20.39%
|
21.10%
|
21.82%
|
26.75%
|
31.68%
|
32.17%
|
32.67%
|
33.99%
|
35.13%
|
35.89%
|
36.60%
|
36.99%
|
37.13%
|
36.84%
|
36.26%
|
35.53%
|
34.46%
|
33.21%
|
32.51%
|
31.88%
|
31.44%
|
31.15%
|
30.95%
|
30.86%
|
30.76%
|
30.71%
|
30.66%
|
| Colorado |
Baseline |
7.54%
|
10.57%
|
13.46%
|
14.92%
|
16.08%
|
17.08%
|
18.47%
|
18.40%
|
18.33%
|
18.63%
|
18.93%
|
19.59%
|
20.25%
|
24.82%
|
29.40%
|
21.50%
|
31.85%
|
33.14%
|
34.44%
|
35.55%
|
36.35%
|
37.02%
|
37.40%
|
37.78%
|
37.97%
|
38.11%
|
38.35%
|
38.63%
|
38.91%
|
39.20%
|
39.48%
|
39.72%
|
39.86%
|
40.01%
|
40.05%
|
40.07%
|
40.08%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.54%
|
10.57%
|
13.46%
|
14.92%
|
16.08%
|
17.08%
|
18.47%
|
18.40%
|
18.33%
|
18.63%
|
18.93%
|
19.59%
|
20.25%
|
24.82%
|
29.40%
|
21.50%
|
31.85%
|
33.14%
|
34.25%
|
34.99%
|
35.69%
|
36.07%
|
36.21%
|
35.92%
|
35.36%
|
34.64%
|
33.60%
|
32.38%
|
31.70%
|
31.08%
|
30.66%
|
30.37%
|
30.18%
|
30.09%
|
29.99%
|
29.95%
|
29.90%
|
| Connecticut |
Baseline |
7.64%
|
10.71%
|
13.65%
|
15.13%
|
16.30%
|
17.31%
|
18.72%
|
18.65%
|
18.58%
|
18.88%
|
19.18%
|
19.85%
|
20.52%
|
25.16%
|
29.80%
|
30.30%
|
30.79%
|
32.04%
|
33.30%
|
34.36%
|
35.14%
|
35.78%
|
36.15%
|
36.52%
|
36.70%
|
36.84%
|
37.07%
|
37.34%
|
37.62%
|
37.89%
|
38.17%
|
38.40%
|
38.53%
|
38.67%
|
38.72%
|
38.74%
|
38.75%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.64%
|
10.71%
|
13.65%
|
15.13%
|
16.30%
|
17.31%
|
18.72%
|
18.65%
|
18.58%
|
18.88%
|
19.18%
|
19.85%
|
20.52%
|
25.16%
|
29.80%
|
30.30%
|
30.79%
|
32.04%
|
33.11%
|
33.83%
|
34.50%
|
34.86%
|
35.00%
|
34.73%
|
34.18%
|
33.49%
|
32.48%
|
31.30%
|
30.64%
|
30.05%
|
29.63%
|
29.36%
|
29.18%
|
29.08%
|
28.99%
|
28.95%
|
28.90%
|
| Delaware |
Baseline |
7.83%
|
10.97%
|
13.98%
|
15.50%
|
16.70%
|
17.74%
|
19.18%
|
19.11%
|
19.03%
|
19.34%
|
19.65%
|
20.34%
|
21.03%
|
25.78%
|
30.53%
|
32.63%
|
34.73%
|
36.14%
|
37.56%
|
38.76%
|
39.64%
|
40.36%
|
40.77%
|
41.19%
|
41.40%
|
41.55%
|
41.81%
|
42.12%
|
42.43%
|
42.74%
|
43.05%
|
43.31%
|
43.47%
|
43.62%
|
43.67%
|
43.69%
|
43.70%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.83%
|
10.97%
|
13.98%
|
15.50%
|
16.70%
|
17.74%
|
19.18%
|
19.11%
|
19.03%
|
19.34%
|
19.65%
|
20.34%
|
21.03%
|
25.78%
|
30.53%
|
32.63%
|
34.73%
|
36.14%
|
37.35%
|
38.16%
|
38.91%
|
39.33%
|
39.48%
|
39.17%
|
38.55%
|
37.77%
|
36.64%
|
35.31%
|
34.57%
|
33.89%
|
33.43%
|
33.12%
|
32.91%
|
32.81%
|
32.70%
|
32.65%
|
32.60%
|
| District of Columbia |
Baseline |
7.45%
|
10.44%
|
13.30%
|
14.74%
|
15.89%
|
16.87%
|
18.24%
|
18.17%
|
18.10%
|
18.40%
|
18.69%
|
19.35%
|
20.00%
|
24.52%
|
29.04%
|
23.89%
|
29.22%
|
30.40%
|
31.59%
|
32.60%
|
33.34%
|
33.95%
|
34.30%
|
34.65%
|
34.82%
|
34.95%
|
35.17%
|
35.43%
|
35.69%
|
35.95%
|
36.22%
|
36.43%
|
36.56%
|
36.69%
|
36.74%
|
36.76%
|
36.76%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.45%
|
10.44%
|
13.30%
|
14.74%
|
15.89%
|
16.87%
|
18.24%
|
18.17%
|
18.10%
|
18.40%
|
18.69%
|
19.35%
|
20.00%
|
24.52%
|
29.04%
|
23.89%
|
29.22%
|
30.40%
|
31.42%
|
32.10%
|
32.73%
|
33.08%
|
33.21%
|
32.95%
|
32.43%
|
31.78%
|
30.82%
|
29.70%
|
29.08%
|
28.51%
|
28.12%
|
27.86%
|
27.68%
|
27.60%
|
27.51%
|
27.47%
|
27.42%
|
| Florida |
Baseline |
7.95%
|
11.14%
|
14.20%
|
15.74%
|
16.96%
|
18.01%
|
19.48%
|
19.40%
|
19.33%
|
19.64%
|
19.96%
|
20.65%
|
21.35%
|
26.18%
|
31.00%
|
26.35%
|
35.12%
|
36.55%
|
37.98%
|
39.19%
|
40.08%
|
40.82%
|
41.24%
|
41.65%
|
41.86%
|
42.02%
|
42.28%
|
42.60%
|
42.91%
|
43.22%
|
43.54%
|
43.80%
|
43.96%
|
44.11%
|
44.17%
|
44.19%
|
44.20%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.95%
|
11.14%
|
14.20%
|
15.74%
|
16.96%
|
18.01%
|
19.48%
|
19.40%
|
19.33%
|
19.64%
|
19.96%
|
20.65%
|
21.35%
|
26.18%
|
31.00%
|
26.35%
|
35.12%
|
36.55%
|
37.77%
|
38.59%
|
39.35%
|
39.77%
|
39.93%
|
39.61%
|
38.99%
|
38.20%
|
37.05%
|
35.71%
|
34.96%
|
34.28%
|
33.80%
|
33.49%
|
33.28%
|
33.18%
|
33.07%
|
33.02%
|
32.97%
|
| Georgia |
Baseline |
8.18%
|
11.47%
|
14.61%
|
16.20%
|
17.46%
|
18.54%
|
20.05%
|
19.97%
|
19.90%
|
20.22%
|
20.55%
|
21.26%
|
21.98%
|
26.95%
|
31.92%
|
32.54%
|
33.17%
|
34.51%
|
35.87%
|
37.02%
|
37.86%
|
38.55%
|
38.94%
|
39.34%
|
39.54%
|
39.68%
|
39.93%
|
40.23%
|
40.52%
|
40.82%
|
41.12%
|
41.36%
|
41.51%
|
41.66%
|
41.71%
|
41.73%
|
41.74%
|
| |
Optimistic |
8.18%
|
11.47%
|
14.61%
|
16.20%
|
17.46%
|
18.54%
|
20.05%
|
19.97%
|
19.90%
|
20.22%
|
20.55%
|
21.26%
|
21.98%
|
26.95%
|
31.92%
|
32.54%
|
33.17%
|
34.51%
|
35.67%
|
36.44%
|
37.16%
|
37.56%
|
37.71%
|
37.41%
|
36.82%
|
36.08%
|
34.99%
|
33.72%
|
33.01%
|
32.37%
|
31.92%
|
31.63%
|
31.43%
|
31.33%
|
31.23%
|
31.18%
|
31.13%
|
| Hawaii |
Baseline |
6.43%
|
9.02%
|
11.49%
|
12.74%
|
13.72%
|
14.57%
|
15.76%
|
15.70%
|
15.64%
|
15.90%
|
16.15%
|
16.71%
|
17.28%
|
21.18%
|
25.09%
|
26.03%
|
26.97%
|
28.06%
|
29.17%
|
30.10%
|
30.78%
|
31.34%
|
31.67%
|
31.99%
|
32.15%
|
32.27%
|
32.47%
|
32.71%
|
32.95%
|
33.19%
|
33.43%
|
33.63%
|
33.75%
|
33.88%
|
33.92%
|
33.93%
|
33.94%
|
| |
Optimistic |
6.43%
|
9.02%
|
11.49%
|
12.74%
|
13.72%
|
14.57%
|
15.76%
|
15.70%
|
15.64%
|
15.90%
|
16.15%
|
16.71%
|
17.28%
|
21.18%
|
25.09%
|
26.03%
|
26.97%
|
28.06%
|
29.01%
|
29.63%
|
30.22%
|
30.54%
|
30.66%
|
30.42%
|
29.94%
|
29.33%
|
28.45%
|
27.42%
|
26.84%
|
26.32%
|
25.96%
|
25.72%
|
25.56%
|
25.48%
|
25.40%
|
25.36%
|
25.32%
|
| Idaho |
Baseline |
7.77%
|
10.90%
|
13.88%
|
15.39%
|
16.59%
|
17.61%
|
19.05%
|
18.97%
|
18.90%
|
19.21%
|
19.52%
|
20.20%
|
20.88%
|
25.60%
|
30.32%
|
30.69%
|
31.05%
|
32.31%
|
33.58%
|
34.65%
|
35.44%
|
36.08%
|
36.45%
|
36.82%
|
37.01%
|
37.15%
|
37.38%
|
37.66%
|
37.93%
|
38.21%
|
38.49%
|
38.72%
|
38.86%
|
39.00%
|
39.04%
|
39.06%
|
39.07%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.77%
|
10.90%
|
13.88%
|
15.39%
|
16.59%
|
17.61%
|
19.05%
|
18.97%
|
18.90%
|
19.21%
|
19.52%
|
20.20%
|
20.88%
|
25.60%
|
30.32%
|
30.69%
|
31.05%
|
32.31%
|
33.39%
|
34.11%
|
34.79%
|
35.16%
|
35.30%
|
35.02%
|
34.46%
|
33.77%
|
32.75%
|
31.57%
|
30.90%
|
30.30%
|
29.88%
|
29.61%
|
29.42%
|
29.33%
|
29.24%
|
29.19%
|
29.14%
|
| Illinois |
Baseline |
7.53%
|
10.55%
|
13.44%
|
14.90%
|
16.06%
|
17.06%
|
18.44%
|
18.37%
|
18.30%
|
18.60%
|
18.90%
|
19.56%
|
20.22%
|
24.79%
|
29.36%
|
10.27%
|
33.62%
|
34.98%
|
36.35%
|
37.51%
|
38.36%
|
39.06%
|
39.47%
|
39.87%
|
40.07%
|
40.22%
|
40.47%
|
40.77%
|
41.07%
|
41.37%
|
41.67%
|
41.92%
|
42.07%
|
42.22%
|
42.27%
|
42.29%
|
42.30%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.53%
|
10.55%
|
13.44%
|
14.90%
|
16.06%
|
17.06%
|
18.44%
|
18.37%
|
18.30%
|
18.60%
|
18.90%
|
19.56%
|
20.22%
|
24.79%
|
29.36%
|
10.27%
|
33.62%
|
34.98%
|
36.15%
|
36.93%
|
37.66%
|
38.06%
|
38.21%
|
37.91%
|
37.31%
|
36.56%
|
35.46%
|
34.18%
|
33.46%
|
32.80%
|
32.35%
|
32.05%
|
31.85%
|
31.75%
|
31.65%
|
31.60%
|
31.55%
|
| Indiana |
Baseline |
7.72%
|
10.81%
|
13.78%
|
15.27%
|
16.46%
|
17.48%
|
18.90%
|
18.83%
|
18.76%
|
19.06%
|
19.37%
|
20.05%
|
20.72%
|
25.40%
|
30.09%
|
32.57%
|
35.05%
|
36.47%
|
37.90%
|
39.11%
|
40.00%
|
40.73%
|
41.15%
|
41.57%
|
41.78%
|
41.93%
|
42.20%
|
42.51%
|
42.82%
|
43.14%
|
43.45%
|
43.71%
|
43.87%
|
44.02%
|
44.08%
|
44.10%
|
44.11%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.72%
|
10.81%
|
13.78%
|
15.27%
|
16.46%
|
17.48%
|
18.90%
|
18.83%
|
18.76%
|
19.06%
|
19.37%
|
20.05%
|
20.72%
|
25.40%
|
30.09%
|
32.57%
|
35.05%
|
36.47%
|
37.69%
|
38.51%
|
39.27%
|
39.69%
|
39.85%
|
39.53%
|
38.91%
|
38.12%
|
36.97%
|
35.64%
|
34.88%
|
34.21%
|
33.74%
|
33.42%
|
33.21%
|
33.11%
|
33.00%
|
32.95%
|
32.90%
|
| Iowa |
Baseline |
7.80%
|
10.93%
|
13.92%
|
15.43%
|
16.63%
|
17.66%
|
19.10%
|
19.02%
|
18.95%
|
19.26%
|
19.57%
|
20.25%
|
20.94%
|
25.67%
|
30.40%
|
24.37%
|
31.73%
|
33.02%
|
34.31%
|
35.41%
|
36.21%
|
36.88%
|
37.25%
|
37.63%
|
37.82%
|
37.96%
|
38.20%
|
38.48%
|
38.77%
|
39.05%
|
39.33%
|
39.57%
|
39.71%
|
39.85%
|
39.90%
|
39.92%
|
39.93%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.80%
|
10.93%
|
13.92%
|
15.43%
|
16.63%
|
17.66%
|
19.10%
|
19.02%
|
18.95%
|
19.26%
|
19.57%
|
20.25%
|
20.94%
|
25.67%
|
30.40%
|
24.37%
|
31.73%
|
33.02%
|
34.12%
|
34.86%
|
35.55%
|
35.93%
|
36.07%
|
35.79%
|
35.22%
|
34.51%
|
33.47%
|
32.26%
|
31.58%
|
30.97%
|
30.54%
|
30.26%
|
30.07%
|
29.97%
|
29.88%
|
29.83%
|
29.78%
|
| Kansas |
Baseline |
7.50%
|
10.51%
|
13.39%
|
14.84%
|
15.99%
|
16.99%
|
18.37%
|
18.30%
|
18.23%
|
18.53%
|
18.82%
|
19.48%
|
20.14%
|
24.69%
|
29.24%
|
29.33%
|
29.43%
|
30.62%
|
31.82%
|
32.84%
|
33.58%
|
34.20%
|
34.55%
|
34.90%
|
35.07%
|
35.20%
|
35.42%
|
35.69%
|
35.95%
|
36.21%
|
36.48%
|
36.69%
|
36.83%
|
36.96%
|
37.00%
|
37.02%
|
37.03%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.50%
|
10.51%
|
13.39%
|
14.84%
|
15.99%
|
16.99%
|
18.37%
|
18.30%
|
18.23%
|
18.53%
|
18.82%
|
19.48%
|
20.14%
|
24.69%
|
29.24%
|
29.33%
|
29.43%
|
30.62%
|
31.64%
|
32.33%
|
32.97%
|
33.32%
|
33.45%
|
33.19%
|
32.66%
|
32.00%
|
31.04%
|
29.92%
|
29.29%
|
28.72%
|
28.32%
|
28.06%
|
27.88%
|
27.80%
|
27.71%
|
27.66%
|
27.62%
|
| Kentucky |
Baseline |
7.99%
|
11.19%
|
14.26%
|
15.81%
|
17.04%
|
18.09%
|
19.57%
|
19.49%
|
19.42%
|
19.73%
|
20.05%
|
20.75%
|
21.45%
|
26.30%
|
31.15%
|
33.34%
|
35.53%
|
36.97%
|
38.42%
|
39.65%
|
40.55%
|
41.29%
|
41.71%
|
42.13%
|
42.34%
|
42.50%
|
42.77%
|
43.09%
|
43.40%
|
43.72%
|
44.04%
|
44.30%
|
44.46%
|
44.62%
|
44.67%
|
44.69%
|
44.71%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.99%
|
11.19%
|
14.26%
|
15.81%
|
17.04%
|
18.09%
|
19.57%
|
19.49%
|
19.42%
|
19.73%
|
20.05%
|
20.75%
|
21.45%
|
26.30%
|
31.15%
|
33.34%
|
35.53%
|
36.97%
|
38.21%
|
39.03%
|
39.80%
|
40.23%
|
40.39%
|
40.07%
|
39.43%
|
38.64%
|
37.48%
|
36.12%
|
35.36%
|
34.67%
|
34.19%
|
33.88%
|
33.66%
|
33.56%
|
33.45%
|
33.40%
|
33.35%
|
| Louisiana |
Baseline |
7.08%
|
9.93%
|
12.65%
|
14.02%
|
15.11%
|
16.05%
|
17.35%
|
17.29%
|
17.22%
|
17.50%
|
17.79%
|
18.41%
|
19.03%
|
23.33%
|
27.63%
|
29.22%
|
30.82%
|
32.07%
|
33.33%
|
34.39%
|
35.17%
|
35.82%
|
36.18%
|
36.55%
|
36.73%
|
36.87%
|
37.10%
|
37.38%
|
37.65%
|
37.93%
|
38.20%
|
38.43%
|
38.57%
|
38.71%
|
38.75%
|
38.77%
|
38.78%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.08%
|
9.93%
|
12.65%
|
14.02%
|
15.11%
|
16.05%
|
17.35%
|
17.29%
|
17.22%
|
17.50%
|
17.79%
|
18.41%
|
19.03%
|
23.33%
|
27.63%
|
29.22%
|
30.82%
|
32.07%
|
33.14%
|
33.86%
|
34.53%
|
34.90%
|
35.04%
|
34.76%
|
34.21%
|
33.52%
|
32.51%
|
31.33%
|
30.67%
|
30.08%
|
29.66%
|
29.39%
|
29.20%
|
29.11%
|
29.02%
|
28.97%
|
28.93%
|
| Maine |
Baseline |
7.77%
|
10.89%
|
13.88%
|
15.39%
|
16.58%
|
17.61%
|
19.04%
|
18.97%
|
18.90%
|
19.20%
|
19.51%
|
20.19%
|
20.87%
|
25.59%
|
30.31%
|
31.96%
|
33.61%
|
34.98%
|
36.35%
|
37.51%
|
38.36%
|
39.06%
|
39.46%
|
39.86%
|
40.06%
|
40.21%
|
40.46%
|
40.76%
|
41.06%
|
41.37%
|
41.67%
|
41.92%
|
42.07%
|
42.22%
|
42.27%
|
42.29%
|
42.30%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.77%
|
10.89%
|
13.88%
|
15.39%
|
16.58%
|
17.61%
|
19.04%
|
18.97%
|
18.90%
|
19.20%
|
19.51%
|
20.19%
|
20.87%
|
25.59%
|
30.31%
|
31.96%
|
33.61%
|
34.98%
|
36.15%
|
36.93%
|
37.66%
|
38.06%
|
38.21%
|
37.91%
|
37.31%
|
36.56%
|
35.46%
|
34.17%
|
33.45%
|
32.80%
|
32.35%
|
32.05%
|
31.85%
|
31.75%
|
31.65%
|
31.60%
|
31.55%
|
| Maryland |
Baseline |
7.97%
|
11.16%
|
14.23%
|
15.77%
|
16.99%
|
18.05%
|
19.52%
|
19.44%
|
19.37%
|
19.68%
|
20.00%
|
20.70%
|
21.40%
|
26.23%
|
31.07%
|
32.46%
|
33.85%
|
35.22%
|
36.61%
|
37.78%
|
38.63%
|
39.34%
|
39.74%
|
40.15%
|
40.35%
|
40.50%
|
40.75%
|
41.05%
|
41.36%
|
41.66%
|
41.96%
|
42.21%
|
42.37%
|
42.52%
|
42.57%
|
42.59%
|
42.60%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.97%
|
11.16%
|
14.23%
|
15.77%
|
16.99%
|
18.05%
|
19.52%
|
19.44%
|
19.37%
|
19.68%
|
20.00%
|
20.70%
|
21.40%
|
26.23%
|
31.07%
|
32.46%
|
33.85%
|
35.22%
|
36.40%
|
37.19%
|
37.93%
|
38.33%
|
38.48%
|
38.18%
|
37.57%
|
36.82%
|
35.71%
|
34.42%
|
33.69%
|
33.04%
|
32.58%
|
32.28%
|
32.08%
|
31.98%
|
31.88%
|
31.82%
|
31.77%
|
| Massachusetts |
Baseline |
7.63%
|
10.69%
|
13.62%
|
15.10%
|
16.27%
|
17.28%
|
18.68%
|
18.61%
|
18.54%
|
18.84%
|
19.14%
|
19.81%
|
20.48%
|
25.11%
|
29.74%
|
31.09%
|
32.45%
|
33.76%
|
35.08%
|
36.21%
|
37.03%
|
37.70%
|
38.09%
|
38.48%
|
38.67%
|
38.82%
|
39.06%
|
39.35%
|
39.64%
|
39.93%
|
40.22%
|
40.46%
|
40.60%
|
40.75%
|
40.80%
|
40.82%
|
40.83%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.63%
|
10.69%
|
13.62%
|
15.10%
|
16.27%
|
17.28%
|
18.68%
|
18.61%
|
18.54%
|
18.84%
|
19.14%
|
19.81%
|
20.48%
|
25.11%
|
29.74%
|
31.09%
|
32.45%
|
33.76%
|
34.89%
|
35.65%
|
36.35%
|
36.74%
|
36.88%
|
36.59%
|
36.01%
|
35.29%
|
34.22%
|
32.99%
|
32.29%
|
31.66%
|
31.23%
|
30.94%
|
30.74%
|
30.65%
|
30.55%
|
30.50%
|
30.45%
|
| Michigan |
Baseline |
8.62%
|
12.08%
|
15.39%
|
17.06%
|
18.38%
|
19.52%
|
21.11%
|
21.03%
|
20.95%
|
21.29%
|
21.63%
|
22.39%
|
23.14%
|
28.37%
|
33.60%
|
35.89%
|
38.18%
|
39.73%
|
41.29%
|
42.61%
|
43.58%
|
44.37%
|
44.83%
|
45.28%
|
45.51%
|
45.68%
|
45.96%
|
46.31%
|
46.65%
|
46.99%
|
47.33%
|
47.61%
|
47.78%
|
47.96%
|
48.01%
|
48.04%
|
48.05%
|
| |
Optimistic |
8.62%
|
12.08%
|
15.39%
|
17.06%
|
18.38%
|
19.52%
|
21.11%
|
21.03%
|
20.95%
|
21.29%
|
21.63%
|
22.39%
|
23.14%
|
28.37%
|
33.60%
|
35.89%
|
38.18%
|
39.73%
|
41.06%
|
41.95%
|
42.78%
|
43.23%
|
43.40%
|
43.06%
|
42.38%
|
41.53%
|
40.28%
|
38.82%
|
38.00%
|
37.26%
|
36.75%
|
36.41%
|
36.18%
|
36.07%
|
35.95%
|
35.90%
|
35.84%
|
| Minnesota |
Baseline |
7.74%
|
10.85%
|
13.82%
|
15.32%
|
16.51%
|
17.53%
|
18.96%
|
18.89%
|
18.81%
|
19.12%
|
19.43%
|
20.11%
|
20.78%
|
25.48%
|
30.18%
|
30.49%
|
30.81%
|
32.06%
|
33.32%
|
34.38%
|
35.16%
|
35.80%
|
36.17%
|
36.54%
|
36.72%
|
36.86%
|
37.09%
|
37.37%
|
37.64%
|
37.92%
|
38.19%
|
38.42%
|
38.56%
|
38.70%
|
38.74%
|
38.76%
|
38.77%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.74%
|
10.85%
|
13.82%
|
15.32%
|
16.51%
|
17.53%
|
18.96%
|
18.89%
|
18.81%
|
19.12%
|
19.43%
|
20.11%
|
20.78%
|
25.48%
|
30.18%
|
30.49%
|
30.81%
|
32.06%
|
33.13%
|
33.85%
|
34.52%
|
34.89%
|
35.02%
|
34.75%
|
34.20%
|
33.51%
|
32.50%
|
31.32%
|
30.66%
|
30.07%
|
29.65%
|
29.38%
|
29.19%
|
29.10%
|
29.01%
|
28.97%
|
28.92%
|
| Mississippi |
Baseline |
7.94%
|
11.13%
|
14.18%
|
15.72%
|
16.94%
|
17.99%
|
19.46%
|
19.38%
|
19.31%
|
19.63%
|
19.94%
|
20.64%
|
21.33%
|
26.15%
|
30.98%
|
32.02%
|
33.06%
|
34.40%
|
35.75%
|
36.89%
|
37.73%
|
38.42%
|
38.81%
|
39.21%
|
39.41%
|
39.55%
|
39.80%
|
40.10%
|
40.39%
|
40.69%
|
40.98%
|
41.23%
|
41.38%
|
41.52%
|
41.57%
|
41.59%
|
41.60%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.94%
|
11.13%
|
14.18%
|
15.72%
|
16.94%
|
17.99%
|
19.46%
|
19.38%
|
19.31%
|
19.63%
|
19.94%
|
20.64%
|
21.33%
|
26.15%
|
30.98%
|
32.02%
|
33.06%
|
34.40%
|
35.55%
|
36.32%
|
37.04%
|
37.44%
|
37.58%
|
37.29%
|
36.70%
|
35.96%
|
34.87%
|
33.61%
|
32.90%
|
32.26%
|
31.82%
|
31.52%
|
31.33%
|
31.23%
|
31.13%
|
31.08%
|
31.03%
|
| Missouri |
Baseline |
8.03%
|
11.25%
|
14.34%
|
15.90%
|
17.13%
|
18.19%
|
19.67%
|
19.60%
|
19.52%
|
19.84%
|
20.16%
|
20.86%
|
21.57%
|
26.44%
|
31.32%
|
32.46%
|
33.61%
|
34.97%
|
36.34%
|
37.50%
|
38.35%
|
39.05%
|
39.45%
|
39.85%
|
40.05%
|
40.20%
|
40.45%
|
40.76%
|
41.06%
|
41.36%
|
41.66%
|
41.91%
|
42.06%
|
42.21%
|
42.26%
|
42.28%
|
42.29%
|
| |
Optimistic |
8.03%
|
11.25%
|
14.34%
|
15.90%
|
17.13%
|
18.19%
|
19.67%
|
19.60%
|
19.52%
|
19.84%
|
20.16%
|
20.86%
|
21.57%
|
26.44%
|
31.32%
|
32.46%
|
33.61%
|
34.97%
|
36.14%
|
36.92%
|
37.65%
|
38.05%
|
38.20%
|
37.90%
|
37.30%
|
36.55%
|
35.45%
|
34.17%
|
33.45%
|
32.79%
|
32.34%
|
32.04%
|
31.84%
|
31.74%
|
31.64%
|
31.59%
|
31.54%
|
| Montana |
Baseline |
7.43%
|
10.42%
|
13.27%
|
14.72%
|
15.86%
|
16.84%
|
18.21%
|
18.14%
|
18.07%
|
18.37%
|
18.66%
|
19.31%
|
19.96%
|
24.48%
|
28.99%
|
23.14%
|
29.84%
|
31.05%
|
32.27%
|
33.30%
|
34.06%
|
34.68%
|
35.04%
|
35.39%
|
35.57%
|
35.70%
|
35.93%
|
36.19%
|
36.46%
|
36.73%
|
36.99%
|
37.22%
|
37.35%
|
37.48%
|
37.53%
|
37.54%
|
37.55%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.43%
|
10.42%
|
13.27%
|
14.72%
|
15.86%
|
16.84%
|
18.21%
|
18.14%
|
18.07%
|
18.37%
|
18.66%
|
19.31%
|
19.96%
|
24.48%
|
28.99%
|
23.14%
|
29.84%
|
31.05%
|
32.09%
|
32.79%
|
33.44%
|
33.79%
|
33.93%
|
33.66%
|
33.12%
|
32.46%
|
31.48%
|
30.34%
|
29.70%
|
29.12%
|
28.72%
|
28.46%
|
28.28%
|
28.19%
|
28.10%
|
28.06%
|
28.01%
|
| Nebraska |
Baseline |
7.12%
|
9.98%
|
12.71%
|
14.09%
|
15.19%
|
16.13%
|
17.44%
|
17.37%
|
17.31%
|
17.59%
|
17.87%
|
18.49%
|
19.12%
|
23.44%
|
27.76%
|
29.15%
|
30.54%
|
31.77%
|
33.02%
|
34.07%
|
34.85%
|
35.48%
|
35.85%
|
36.21%
|
36.39%
|
36.53%
|
36.76%
|
37.03%
|
37.30%
|
37.58%
|
37.85%
|
38.08%
|
38.21%
|
38.35%
|
38.40%
|
38.41%
|
38.42%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.12%
|
9.98%
|
12.71%
|
14.09%
|
15.19%
|
16.13%
|
17.44%
|
17.37%
|
17.31%
|
17.59%
|
17.87%
|
18.49%
|
19.12%
|
23.44%
|
27.76%
|
29.15%
|
30.54%
|
31.77%
|
32.84%
|
33.55%
|
34.21%
|
34.57%
|
34.71%
|
34.44%
|
33.89%
|
33.21%
|
32.21%
|
31.04%
|
30.39%
|
29.80%
|
29.39%
|
29.12%
|
28.93%
|
28.84%
|
28.75%
|
28.71%
|
28.66%
|
| Nevada |
Baseline |
9.35%
|
13.10%
|
16.70%
|
18.51%
|
19.95%
|
21.18%
|
22.91%
|
22.82%
|
22.73%
|
23.10%
|
23.47%
|
24.29%
|
25.11%
|
30.79%
|
36.46%
|
36.64%
|
36.82%
|
38.31%
|
39.81%
|
41.08%
|
42.02%
|
42.79%
|
43.22%
|
43.66%
|
43.88%
|
44.05%
|
44.32%
|
44.65%
|
44.98%
|
45.31%
|
45.64%
|
45.91%
|
46.08%
|
46.24%
|
46.30%
|
46.32%
|
46.33%
|
| |
Optimistic |
9.35%
|
13.10%
|
16.70%
|
18.51%
|
19.95%
|
21.18%
|
22.91%
|
22.82%
|
22.73%
|
23.10%
|
23.47%
|
24.29%
|
25.11%
|
30.79%
|
36.46%
|
36.64%
|
36.82%
|
38.31%
|
39.59%
|
40.45%
|
41.25%
|
41.69%
|
41.85%
|
41.52%
|
40.87%
|
40.04%
|
38.84%
|
37.43%
|
36.64%
|
35.93%
|
35.43%
|
35.11%
|
34.89%
|
34.78%
|
34.67%
|
34.61%
|
34.56%
|
| New Hampshire |
Baseline |
7.96%
|
11.15%
|
14.21%
|
15.75%
|
16.97%
|
18.02%
|
19.49%
|
19.42%
|
19.34%
|
19.66%
|
19.97%
|
20.67%
|
21.37%
|
26.20%
|
31.03%
|
32.23%
|
33.44%
|
34.79%
|
36.16%
|
37.31%
|
38.16%
|
38.86%
|
39.26%
|
39.66%
|
39.86%
|
40.01%
|
40.25%
|
40.55%
|
40.85%
|
41.15%
|
41.45%
|
41.70%
|
41.85%
|
42.00%
|
42.05%
|
42.07%
|
42.08%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.96%
|
11.15%
|
14.21%
|
15.75%
|
16.97%
|
18.02%
|
19.49%
|
19.42%
|
19.34%
|
19.66%
|
19.97%
|
20.67%
|
21.37%
|
26.20%
|
31.03%
|
32.23%
|
33.44%
|
34.79%
|
35.96%
|
36.74%
|
37.46%
|
37.86%
|
38.01%
|
37.71%
|
37.12%
|
36.37%
|
35.27%
|
34.00%
|
33.28%
|
32.63%
|
32.18%
|
31.88%
|
31.69%
|
31.59%
|
31.49%
|
31.44%
|
31.39%
|
| New Jersey |
Baseline |
7.75%
|
10.86%
|
13.83%
|
15.34%
|
16.53%
|
17.55%
|
18.98%
|
18.91%
|
18.83%
|
19.14%
|
19.45%
|
20.13%
|
20.81%
|
25.51%
|
30.21%
|
32.01%
|
33.81%
|
35.18%
|
36.56%
|
37.73%
|
38.58%
|
39.29%
|
39.69%
|
40.09%
|
40.30%
|
40.45%
|
40.70%
|
41.00%
|
41.30%
|
41.61%
|
41.91%
|
42.16%
|
42.31%
|
42.46%
|
42.51%
|
42.53%
|
42.54%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.75%
|
10.86%
|
13.83%
|
15.34%
|
16.53%
|
17.55%
|
18.98%
|
18.91%
|
18.83%
|
19.14%
|
19.45%
|
20.13%
|
20.81%
|
25.51%
|
30.21%
|
32.01%
|
33.81%
|
35.18%
|
36.36%
|
37.14%
|
37.88%
|
38.28%
|
38.43%
|
38.13%
|
37.53%
|
36.77%
|
35.66%
|
34.37%
|
33.65%
|
32.99%
|
32.54%
|
32.24%
|
32.04%
|
31.93%
|
31.83%
|
31.78%
|
31.73%
|
| New Mexico |
Baseline |
6.37%
|
8.93%
|
11.37%
|
12.61%
|
13.59%
|
14.43%
|
15.61%
|
15.55%
|
15.49%
|
15.74%
|
15.99%
|
16.55%
|
17.11%
|
20.97%
|
24.84%
|
26.03%
|
27.22%
|
28.33%
|
29.44%
|
30.38%
|
31.07%
|
31.64%
|
31.96%
|
32.29%
|
32.45%
|
32.57%
|
32.77%
|
33.02%
|
33.26%
|
33.50%
|
33.75%
|
33.95%
|
34.07%
|
34.19%
|
34.23%
|
34.25%
|
34.26%
|
| |
Optimistic |
6.37%
|
8.93%
|
11.37%
|
12.61%
|
13.59%
|
14.43%
|
15.61%
|
15.55%
|
15.49%
|
15.74%
|
15.99%
|
16.55%
|
17.11%
|
20.97%
|
24.84%
|
26.03%
|
27.22%
|
28.33%
|
29.28%
|
29.91%
|
30.50%
|
30.83%
|
30.95%
|
30.70%
|
30.22%
|
29.61%
|
28.72%
|
27.68%
|
27.09%
|
26.57%
|
26.20%
|
25.96%
|
25.80%
|
25.72%
|
25.63%
|
25.59%
|
25.55%
|
| New York |
Baseline |
7.73%
|
10.83%
|
13.80%
|
15.29%
|
16.48%
|
17.50%
|
18.93%
|
18.85%
|
18.78%
|
19.09%
|
19.40%
|
20.07%
|
20.75%
|
25.44%
|
30.13%
|
32.52%
|
34.92%
|
36.33%
|
37.76%
|
38.96%
|
39.85%
|
40.57%
|
40.99%
|
41.41%
|
41.62%
|
41.77%
|
42.03%
|
42.34%
|
42.66%
|
42.97%
|
43.28%
|
43.54%
|
43.70%
|
43.85%
|
43.90%
|
43.92%
|
43.94%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.73%
|
10.83%
|
13.80%
|
15.29%
|
16.48%
|
17.50%
|
18.93%
|
18.85%
|
18.78%
|
19.09%
|
19.40%
|
20.07%
|
20.75%
|
25.44%
|
30.13%
|
32.52%
|
34.92%
|
36.33%
|
37.55%
|
38.36%
|
39.12%
|
39.53%
|
39.69%
|
39.38%
|
38.75%
|
37.97%
|
36.83%
|
35.50%
|
34.75%
|
34.07%
|
33.60%
|
33.29%
|
33.08%
|
32.98%
|
32.88%
|
32.82%
|
32.77%
|
| North Carolina |
Baseline |
7.41%
|
10.38%
|
13.23%
|
14.66%
|
15.80%
|
16.78%
|
18.14%
|
18.07%
|
18.01%
|
18.30%
|
18.59%
|
19.24%
|
19.89%
|
24.39%
|
28.88%
|
31.42%
|
33.96%
|
35.34%
|
36.73%
|
37.90%
|
38.76%
|
39.47%
|
39.87%
|
40.28%
|
40.48%
|
40.63%
|
40.89%
|
41.19%
|
41.49%
|
41.80%
|
42.10%
|
42.35%
|
42.50%
|
42.66%
|
42.71%
|
42.73%
|
42.74%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.41%
|
10.38%
|
13.23%
|
14.66%
|
15.80%
|
16.78%
|
18.14%
|
18.07%
|
18.01%
|
18.30%
|
18.59%
|
19.24%
|
19.89%
|
24.39%
|
28.88%
|
31.42%
|
33.96%
|
35.34%
|
36.52%
|
37.31%
|
38.05%
|
38.46%
|
38.61%
|
38.31%
|
37.70%
|
36.94%
|
35.83%
|
34.53%
|
33.80%
|
33.14%
|
32.69%
|
32.38%
|
32.18%
|
32.08%
|
31.98%
|
31.93%
|
31.88%
|
| North Dakota |
Baseline |
7.59%
|
10.64%
|
13.56%
|
15.03%
|
16.20%
|
17.20%
|
18.60%
|
18.53%
|
18.46%
|
18.76%
|
19.06%
|
19.73%
|
20.39%
|
25.00%
|
29.61%
|
24.73%
|
32.63%
|
33.96%
|
35.29%
|
36.42%
|
37.24%
|
37.92%
|
38.31%
|
38.70%
|
38.89%
|
39.04%
|
39.28%
|
39.58%
|
39.87%
|
40.16%
|
40.45%
|
40.69%
|
40.84%
|
40.99%
|
41.03%
|
41.05%
|
41.06%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.59%
|
10.64%
|
13.56%
|
15.03%
|
16.20%
|
17.20%
|
18.60%
|
18.53%
|
18.46%
|
18.76%
|
19.06%
|
19.73%
|
20.39%
|
25.00%
|
29.61%
|
24.73%
|
32.63%
|
33.96%
|
35.09%
|
35.85%
|
36.56%
|
36.95%
|
37.10%
|
36.80%
|
36.22%
|
35.49%
|
34.42%
|
33.18%
|
32.48%
|
31.85%
|
31.41%
|
31.12%
|
30.92%
|
30.82%
|
30.73%
|
30.68%
|
30.63%
|
| Ohio |
Baseline |
8.40%
|
11.78%
|
15.01%
|
16.64%
|
17.93%
|
19.04%
|
20.59%
|
20.51%
|
20.43%
|
20.76%
|
21.10%
|
21.83%
|
22.57%
|
27.67%
|
32.77%
|
24.90%
|
33.94%
|
35.32%
|
36.70%
|
37.88%
|
38.74%
|
39.45%
|
39.85%
|
40.25%
|
40.46%
|
40.61%
|
40.86%
|
41.16%
|
41.47%
|
41.77%
|
42.07%
|
42.33%
|
42.48%
|
42.63%
|
42.68%
|
42.70%
|
42.71%
|
| |
Optimistic |
8.40%
|
11.78%
|
15.01%
|
16.64%
|
17.93%
|
19.04%
|
20.59%
|
20.51%
|
20.43%
|
20.76%
|
21.10%
|
21.83%
|
22.57%
|
27.67%
|
32.77%
|
24.90%
|
33.94%
|
35.32%
|
36.50%
|
37.29%
|
38.03%
|
38.43%
|
38.59%
|
38.28%
|
37.68%
|
36.92%
|
35.80%
|
34.51%
|
33.78%
|
33.12%
|
32.67%
|
32.37%
|
32.16%
|
32.06%
|
31.96%
|
31.91%
|
31.86%
|
| Oklahoma |
Baseline |
7.60%
|
10.65%
|
13.57%
|
15.04%
|
16.21%
|
17.21%
|
18.61%
|
18.54%
|
18.47%
|
18.77%
|
19.07%
|
19.74%
|
20.40%
|
25.02%
|
29.63%
|
30.80%
|
31.98%
|
33.28%
|
34.58%
|
35.69%
|
36.50%
|
37.16%
|
37.54%
|
37.93%
|
38.12%
|
38.26%
|
38.50%
|
38.78%
|
39.07%
|
39.36%
|
39.64%
|
39.88%
|
40.02%
|
40.17%
|
40.21%
|
40.23%
|
40.24%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.60%
|
10.65%
|
13.57%
|
15.04%
|
16.21%
|
17.21%
|
18.61%
|
18.54%
|
18.47%
|
18.77%
|
19.07%
|
19.74%
|
20.40%
|
25.02%
|
29.63%
|
30.80%
|
31.98%
|
33.28%
|
34.39%
|
35.13%
|
35.83%
|
36.21%
|
36.35%
|
36.07%
|
35.50%
|
34.78%
|
33.73%
|
32.51%
|
31.83%
|
31.21%
|
30.78%
|
30.49%
|
30.30%
|
30.21%
|
30.11%
|
30.06%
|
30.02%
|
| Oregon |
Baseline |
8.23%
|
11.54%
|
14.70%
|
16.30%
|
17.57%
|
18.65%
|
20.17%
|
20.09%
|
20.02%
|
20.34%
|
20.67%
|
21.39%
|
22.11%
|
27.11%
|
32.11%
|
23.38%
|
34.06%
|
35.44%
|
36.83%
|
38.01%
|
38.87%
|
39.58%
|
39.99%
|
40.39%
|
40.59%
|
40.75%
|
41.00%
|
41.30%
|
41.61%
|
41.91%
|
42.22%
|
42.47%
|
42.62%
|
42.78%
|
42.83%
|
42.85%
|
42.86%
|
| |
Optimistic |
8.23%
|
11.54%
|
14.70%
|
16.30%
|
17.57%
|
18.65%
|
20.17%
|
20.09%
|
20.02%
|
20.34%
|
20.67%
|
21.39%
|
22.11%
|
27.11%
|
32.11%
|
23.38%
|
34.06%
|
35.44%
|
36.63%
|
37.42%
|
38.16%
|
38.56%
|
38.72%
|
38.41%
|
37.80%
|
37.04%
|
35.93%
|
34.63%
|
33.90%
|
33.24%
|
32.78%
|
32.48%
|
32.27%
|
32.17%
|
32.07%
|
32.02%
|
31.97%
|
| Pennsylvania |
Baseline |
8.33%
|
11.67%
|
14.87%
|
16.49%
|
17.77%
|
18.87%
|
20.41%
|
20.33%
|
20.25%
|
20.58%
|
20.91%
|
21.64%
|
22.37%
|
27.43%
|
32.48%
|
33.86%
|
35.24%
|
36.67%
|
38.11%
|
39.32%
|
40.22%
|
40.95%
|
41.37%
|
41.79%
|
42.00%
|
42.16%
|
42.42%
|
42.74%
|
43.05%
|
43.37%
|
43.68%
|
43.94%
|
44.10%
|
44.26%
|
44.31%
|
44.33%
|
44.34%
|
| |
Optimistic |
8.33%
|
11.67%
|
14.87%
|
16.49%
|
17.77%
|
18.87%
|
20.41%
|
20.33%
|
20.25%
|
20.58%
|
20.91%
|
21.64%
|
22.37%
|
27.43%
|
32.48%
|
33.86%
|
35.24%
|
36.67%
|
37.90%
|
38.72%
|
39.48%
|
39.90%
|
40.06%
|
39.74%
|
39.11%
|
38.33%
|
37.17%
|
35.83%
|
35.07%
|
34.39%
|
33.92%
|
33.60%
|
33.39%
|
33.29%
|
33.18%
|
33.13%
|
33.08%
|
| Rhode Island |
Baseline |
8.49%
|
11.90%
|
15.17%
|
16.82%
|
18.12%
|
19.24%
|
20.81%
|
20.73%
|
20.65%
|
20.99%
|
21.32%
|
22.07%
|
22.81%
|
27.97%
|
33.12%
|
33.12%
|
33.11%
|
34.45%
|
35.80%
|
36.95%
|
37.79%
|
38.48%
|
38.87%
|
39.27%
|
39.46%
|
39.61%
|
39.86%
|
40.16%
|
40.45%
|
40.75%
|
41.04%
|
41.29%
|
41.44%
|
41.59%
|
41.64%
|
41.66%
|
41.66%
|
| |
Optimistic |
8.49%
|
11.90%
|
15.17%
|
16.82%
|
18.12%
|
19.24%
|
20.81%
|
20.73%
|
20.65%
|
20.99%
|
21.32%
|
22.07%
|
22.81%
|
27.97%
|
33.12%
|
33.12%
|
33.11%
|
34.45%
|
35.61%
|
36.38%
|
37.10%
|
37.49%
|
37.64%
|
37.34%
|
36.75%
|
36.01%
|
34.93%
|
33.66%
|
32.95%
|
32.31%
|
31.87%
|
31.57%
|
31.37%
|
31.28%
|
31.18%
|
31.13%
|
31.08%
|
| South Carolina |
Baseline |
7.14%
|
10.01%
|
12.75%
|
14.14%
|
15.23%
|
16.18%
|
17.49%
|
17.43%
|
17.36%
|
17.64%
|
17.93%
|
18.55%
|
19.18%
|
23.51%
|
27.84%
|
24.25%
|
33.43%
|
34.79%
|
36.15%
|
37.31%
|
38.15%
|
38.85%
|
39.25%
|
39.65%
|
39.85%
|
40.00%
|
40.25%
|
40.55%
|
40.84%
|
41.14%
|
41.44%
|
41.69%
|
41.84%
|
41.99%
|
42.04%
|
42.06%
|
42.07%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.14%
|
10.01%
|
12.75%
|
14.14%
|
15.23%
|
16.18%
|
17.49%
|
17.43%
|
17.36%
|
17.64%
|
17.93%
|
18.55%
|
19.18%
|
23.51%
|
27.84%
|
24.25%
|
33.43%
|
34.79%
|
35.95%
|
36.73%
|
37.46%
|
37.86%
|
38.01%
|
37.71%
|
37.11%
|
36.36%
|
35.27%
|
33.99%
|
33.27%
|
32.63%
|
32.18%
|
31.88%
|
31.68%
|
31.58%
|
31.48%
|
31.43%
|
31.38%
|
| South Dakota |
Baseline |
7.57%
|
10.62%
|
13.53%
|
15.00%
|
16.16%
|
17.16%
|
18.56%
|
18.49%
|
18.42%
|
18.72%
|
19.02%
|
19.68%
|
20.34%
|
24.94%
|
29.54%
|
20.98%
|
31.15%
|
32.41%
|
33.69%
|
34.76%
|
35.55%
|
36.20%
|
36.57%
|
36.94%
|
37.13%
|
37.27%
|
37.50%
|
37.78%
|
38.06%
|
38.34%
|
38.61%
|
38.85%
|
38.99%
|
39.13%
|
39.17%
|
39.19%
|
39.20%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.57%
|
10.62%
|
13.53%
|
15.00%
|
16.16%
|
17.16%
|
18.56%
|
18.49%
|
18.42%
|
18.72%
|
19.02%
|
19.68%
|
20.34%
|
24.94%
|
29.54%
|
20.98%
|
31.15%
|
32.41%
|
33.50%
|
34.22%
|
34.90%
|
35.27%
|
35.41%
|
35.13%
|
34.58%
|
33.88%
|
32.86%
|
31.67%
|
31.00%
|
30.40%
|
29.98%
|
29.70%
|
29.52%
|
29.43%
|
29.33%
|
29.29%
|
29.24%
|
| Tennessee |
Baseline |
8.50%
|
11.92%
|
15.18%
|
16.83%
|
18.14%
|
19.26%
|
20.83%
|
20.75%
|
20.67%
|
21.01%
|
21.35%
|
22.09%
|
22.84%
|
28.00%
|
33.16%
|
22.48%
|
30.07%
|
31.29%
|
32.52%
|
33.56%
|
34.32%
|
34.94%
|
35.30%
|
35.66%
|
35.84%
|
35.98%
|
36.20%
|
36.47%
|
36.74%
|
37.01%
|
37.27%
|
37.50%
|
37.63%
|
37.77%
|
37.81%
|
37.83%
|
37.84%
|
| |
Optimistic |
8.50%
|
11.92%
|
15.18%
|
16.83%
|
18.14%
|
19.26%
|
20.83%
|
20.75%
|
20.67%
|
21.01%
|
21.35%
|
22.09%
|
22.84%
|
28.00%
|
33.16%
|
22.48%
|
30.07%
|
31.29%
|
32.34%
|
33.04%
|
33.69%
|
34.05%
|
34.18%
|
33.91%
|
33.38%
|
32.70%
|
31.72%
|
30.57%
|
29.93%
|
29.34%
|
28.94%
|
28.67%
|
28.49%
|
28.40%
|
28.31%
|
28.27%
|
28.22%
|
| Texas |
Baseline |
8.15%
|
11.42%
|
14.55%
|
16.13%
|
17.38%
|
18.45%
|
19.96%
|
19.88%
|
19.80%
|
20.13%
|
20.45%
|
21.16%
|
21.88%
|
26.82%
|
31.77%
|
33.01%
|
34.26%
|
35.65%
|
37.05%
|
38.23%
|
39.10%
|
39.82%
|
40.22%
|
40.63%
|
40.84%
|
40.99%
|
41.25%
|
41.55%
|
41.86%
|
42.16%
|
42.47%
|
42.73%
|
42.88%
|
43.03%
|
43.08%
|
43.10%
|
43.11%
|
| |
Optimistic |
8.15%
|
11.42%
|
14.55%
|
16.13%
|
17.38%
|
18.45%
|
19.96%
|
19.88%
|
19.80%
|
20.13%
|
20.45%
|
21.16%
|
21.88%
|
26.82%
|
31.77%
|
33.01%
|
34.26%
|
35.65%
|
36.85%
|
37.64%
|
38.39%
|
38.80%
|
38.95%
|
38.64%
|
38.03%
|
37.26%
|
36.14%
|
34.83%
|
34.10%
|
33.44%
|
32.98%
|
32.67%
|
32.47%
|
32.36%
|
32.26%
|
32.21%
|
32.16%
|
| Utah |
Baseline |
7.43%
|
10.41%
|
13.26%
|
14.70%
|
15.85%
|
16.83%
|
18.20%
|
18.13%
|
18.06%
|
18.35%
|
18.65%
|
19.30%
|
19.95%
|
24.46%
|
28.97%
|
28.36%
|
27.75%
|
28.87%
|
30.01%
|
30.97%
|
31.67%
|
32.25%
|
32.58%
|
32.91%
|
33.07%
|
33.20%
|
33.41%
|
33.65%
|
33.90%
|
34.15%
|
34.40%
|
34.60%
|
34.73%
|
34.85%
|
34.89%
|
34.91%
|
34.92%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.43%
|
10.41%
|
13.26%
|
14.70%
|
15.85%
|
16.83%
|
18.20%
|
18.13%
|
18.06%
|
18.35%
|
18.65%
|
19.30%
|
19.95%
|
24.46%
|
28.97%
|
28.36%
|
27.75%
|
28.87%
|
29.84%
|
30.49%
|
31.09%
|
31.42%
|
31.54%
|
31.30%
|
30.80%
|
30.18%
|
29.27%
|
28.21%
|
27.62%
|
27.08%
|
26.71%
|
26.46%
|
26.29%
|
26.21%
|
26.13%
|
26.09%
|
26.05%
|
| Vermont |
Baseline |
7.56%
|
10.60%
|
13.50%
|
14.97%
|
16.13%
|
17.13%
|
18.52%
|
18.45%
|
18.38%
|
18.68%
|
18.98%
|
19.65%
|
20.31%
|
24.90%
|
29.49%
|
30.21%
|
30.93%
|
32.19%
|
33.45%
|
34.52%
|
35.30%
|
35.95%
|
36.32%
|
36.68%
|
36.87%
|
37.01%
|
37.24%
|
37.51%
|
37.79%
|
38.07%
|
38.34%
|
38.57%
|
38.71%
|
38.85%
|
38.90%
|
38.91%
|
38.92%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.56%
|
10.60%
|
13.50%
|
14.97%
|
16.13%
|
17.13%
|
18.52%
|
18.45%
|
18.38%
|
18.68%
|
18.98%
|
19.65%
|
20.31%
|
24.90%
|
29.49%
|
30.21%
|
30.93%
|
32.19%
|
33.26%
|
33.98%
|
34.66%
|
35.02%
|
35.16%
|
34.89%
|
34.33%
|
33.64%
|
32.63%
|
31.45%
|
30.78%
|
30.19%
|
29.77%
|
29.49%
|
29.31%
|
29.22%
|
29.13%
|
29.08%
|
29.03%
|
| Virginia |
Baseline |
7.87%
|
11.03%
|
14.05%
|
15.58%
|
16.79%
|
17.83%
|
19.28%
|
19.20%
|
19.13%
|
19.44%
|
19.76%
|
20.44%
|
21.13%
|
25.91%
|
30.69%
|
25.56%
|
32.85%
|
34.18%
|
35.53%
|
36.66%
|
37.49%
|
38.18%
|
38.57%
|
38.96%
|
39.16%
|
39.30%
|
39.55%
|
39.84%
|
40.14%
|
40.43%
|
40.72%
|
40.97%
|
41.11%
|
41.26%
|
41.31%
|
41.33%
|
41.34%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.87%
|
11.03%
|
14.05%
|
15.58%
|
16.79%
|
17.83%
|
19.28%
|
19.20%
|
19.13%
|
19.44%
|
19.76%
|
20.44%
|
21.13%
|
25.91%
|
30.69%
|
25.56%
|
32.85%
|
34.18%
|
35.33%
|
36.09%
|
36.81%
|
37.20%
|
37.35%
|
37.05%
|
36.46%
|
35.73%
|
34.65%
|
33.40%
|
32.70%
|
32.06%
|
31.62%
|
31.33%
|
31.13%
|
31.03%
|
30.93%
|
30.88%
|
30.84%
|
| Washington |
Baseline |
7.48%
|
10.49%
|
13.36%
|
14.81%
|
15.96%
|
16.95%
|
18.33%
|
18.26%
|
18.19%
|
18.49%
|
18.78%
|
19.44%
|
20.09%
|
24.64%
|
29.18%
|
31.24%
|
33.31%
|
34.65%
|
36.01%
|
37.16%
|
38.01%
|
38.70%
|
39.10%
|
39.50%
|
39.70%
|
39.84%
|
40.09%
|
40.39%
|
40.69%
|
40.99%
|
41.28%
|
41.53%
|
41.68%
|
41.83%
|
41.88%
|
41.90%
|
41.91%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.48%
|
10.49%
|
13.36%
|
14.81%
|
15.96%
|
16.95%
|
18.33%
|
18.26%
|
18.19%
|
18.49%
|
18.78%
|
19.44%
|
20.09%
|
24.64%
|
29.18%
|
31.24%
|
33.31%
|
34.65%
|
35.82%
|
36.59%
|
37.31%
|
37.71%
|
37.86%
|
37.56%
|
36.97%
|
36.22%
|
35.13%
|
33.86%
|
33.15%
|
32.50%
|
32.05%
|
31.76%
|
31.56%
|
31.46%
|
31.36%
|
31.31%
|
31.26%
|
| West Virginia |
Baseline |
9.66%
|
13.54%
|
17.25%
|
19.12%
|
20.61%
|
21.88%
|
23.66%
|
23.57%
|
23.48%
|
23.87%
|
24.25%
|
25.10%
|
25.94%
|
31.81%
|
37.67%
|
37.86%
|
38.05%
|
39.59%
|
41.15%
|
42.46%
|
43.43%
|
44.22%
|
44.67%
|
45.13%
|
45.35%
|
45.52%
|
45.81%
|
46.15%
|
46.49%
|
46.83%
|
47.17%
|
47.45%
|
47.62%
|
47.79%
|
47.85%
|
47.87%
|
47.88%
|
| |
Optimistic |
9.66%
|
13.54%
|
17.25%
|
19.12%
|
20.61%
|
21.88%
|
23.66%
|
23.57%
|
23.48%
|
23.87%
|
24.25%
|
25.10%
|
25.94%
|
31.81%
|
37.67%
|
37.86%
|
38.05%
|
39.59%
|
40.92%
|
41.80%
|
42.63%
|
43.09%
|
43.26%
|
42.92%
|
42.23%
|
41.38%
|
40.14%
|
38.69%
|
37.87%
|
37.13%
|
36.62%
|
36.28%
|
36.06%
|
35.94%
|
35.83%
|
35.77%
|
35.72%
|
| Wisconsin |
Baseline |
7.61%
|
10.66%
|
13.58%
|
15.06%
|
16.23%
|
17.23%
|
18.64%
|
18.57%
|
18.49%
|
18.80%
|
19.10%
|
19.76%
|
20.43%
|
25.05%
|
29.67%
|
31.21%
|
32.76%
|
34.08%
|
35.42%
|
36.55%
|
37.38%
|
38.06%
|
38.46%
|
38.85%
|
39.04%
|
39.19%
|
39.43%
|
39.72%
|
40.02%
|
40.31%
|
40.60%
|
40.85%
|
40.99%
|
41.14%
|
41.19%
|
41.21%
|
41.22%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.61%
|
10.66%
|
13.58%
|
15.06%
|
16.23%
|
17.23%
|
18.64%
|
18.57%
|
18.49%
|
18.80%
|
19.10%
|
19.76%
|
20.43%
|
25.05%
|
29.67%
|
31.21%
|
32.76%
|
34.08%
|
35.22%
|
35.99%
|
36.70%
|
37.09%
|
37.24%
|
36.94%
|
36.36%
|
35.62%
|
34.55%
|
33.30%
|
32.60%
|
31.96%
|
31.53%
|
31.23%
|
31.04%
|
30.94%
|
30.84%
|
30.79%
|
30.74%
|
| Wyoming |
Baseline |
7.82%
|
10.97%
|
13.97%
|
15.49%
|
16.69%
|
17.72%
|
19.17%
|
19.09%
|
19.02%
|
19.33%
|
19.64%
|
20.33%
|
21.01%
|
25.76%
|
30.51%
|
32.71%
|
34.91%
|
36.32%
|
37.74%
|
38.95%
|
39.84%
|
40.56%
|
40.98%
|
41.40%
|
41.60%
|
41.76%
|
42.02%
|
42.33%
|
42.64%
|
42.96%
|
43.27%
|
43.53%
|
43.68%
|
43.84%
|
43.89%
|
43.91%
|
43.92%
|
| |
Optimistic |
7.82%
|
10.97%
|
13.97%
|
15.49%
|
16.69%
|
17.72%
|
19.17%
|
19.09%
|
19.02%
|
19.33%
|
19.64%
|
20.33%
|
21.01%
|
25.76%
|
30.51%
|
32.71%
|
34.91%
|
36.32%
|
37.54%
|
38.35%
|
39.11%
|
39.52%
|
39.68%
|
39.37%
|
38.74%
|
37.96%
|
36.82%
|
35.49%
|
34.74%
|
34.06%
|
33.59%
|
33.28%
|
33.07%
|
32.97%
|
32.87%
|
32.81%
|
32.76%
|
| |
|
| |