Risk Factors

A healthier America depends on numerous factors, including making changes in lifestyle and health-related behavior and treatments. The risk factor categories below show the baseline projected data for each category and the projected data to achieve the optimistic course in the study.


    Obesity    Smoking    Alcohol    Overweight    Physical Activity    Cholesterol    Air Quality    Illicit Drug Use   
 

Alcohol

Represents the "at risk" precentage of total population who drink alcohol. "At risk" refers to at least two alcoholic beverages per day.
    1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
United States Baseline 8.86% 8.21% 7.56% 6.46% 6.50% 4.08% 3.66% 3.63% 3.57% 3.50% 3.67% 3.10% 3.49% 3.14% 3.50% 3.74% 4.52% 5.61% 5.96% 5.81% 5.79% 5.85% 5.82% 5.82% 5.83% 5.82% 5.81% 5.83% 5.82% 5.80% 5.79% 5.78% 5.76% 5.79% 5.82% 5.85% 5.84% 5.82% 5.83% 5.81%
  Optimistic 8.86% 8.21% 7.56% 6.46% 6.50% 4.08% 3.66% 3.63% 3.57% 3.50% 3.67% 3.10% 3.49% 3.14% 3.50% 3.74% 4.52% 5.61% 5.96% 5.81% 5.79% 5.85% 5.82% 5.80% 5.72% 5.62% 5.44% 5.24% 5.05% 4.89% 4.72% 4.60% 4.49% 4.41% 4.35% 4.29% 4.24% 4.20% 4.17% 4.15%
Alabama Baseline 7.39% 6.84% 6.30% 5.38% 5.42% 3.40% 3.06% 3.03% 2.98% 2.92% 3.06% 2.58% 2.91% 2.61% 2.92% 3.12% 3.77% 4.68% 6.42% 5.06% 5.05% 5.10% 5.07% 5.07% 5.08% 5.08% 5.07% 5.08% 5.08% 5.06% 5.05% 5.04% 5.02% 5.05% 5.07% 5.10% 5.09% 5.07% 5.08% 5.07%
  Optimistic 7.39% 6.84% 6.30% 5.38% 5.42% 3.40% 3.06% 3.03% 2.98% 2.92% 3.06% 2.58% 2.91% 2.61% 2.92% 3.12% 3.77% 4.68% 6.42% 5.06% 5.05% 5.10% 5.07% 5.06% 4.99% 4.90% 4.74% 4.57% 4.40% 4.26% 4.12% 4.01% 3.92% 3.85% 3.79% 3.74% 3.70% 3.66% 3.64% 3.62%
Alaska Baseline 9.99% 9.25% 8.52% 7.28% 7.33% 4.60% 4.13% 4.09% 4.03% 3.95% 4.14% 3.49% 3.93% 3.54% 3.95% 4.21% 5.10% 6.33% 6.89% 6.80% 6.78% 6.85% 6.81% 6.81% 6.82% 6.82% 6.80% 6.83% 6.81% 6.79% 6.78% 6.77% 6.74% 6.78% 6.81% 6.85% 6.84% 6.81% 6.83% 6.80%
  Optimistic 9.99% 9.25% 8.52% 7.28% 7.33% 4.60% 4.13% 4.09% 4.03% 3.95% 4.14% 3.49% 3.93% 3.54% 3.95% 4.21% 5.10% 6.33% 6.89% 6.80% 6.78% 6.85% 6.81% 6.79% 6.70% 6.58% 6.37% 6.14% 5.91% 5.73% 5.53% 5.39% 5.26% 5.16% 5.09% 5.02% 4.96% 4.92% 4.88% 4.86%
Arizona Baseline 10.49% 9.72% 8.95% 7.65% 7.70% 4.83% 4.34% 4.30% 4.23% 4.15% 4.35% 3.67% 4.13% 3.71% 4.15% 4.43% 5.36% 6.64% 8.52% 5.99% 5.98% 6.04% 6.00% 6.01% 6.02% 6.01% 6.00% 6.02% 6.01% 5.99% 5.98% 5.97% 5.95% 5.98% 6.01% 6.04% 6.03% 6.01% 6.02% 6.00%
  Optimistic 10.49% 9.72% 8.95% 7.65% 7.70% 4.83% 4.34% 4.30% 4.23% 4.15% 4.35% 3.67% 4.13% 3.71% 4.15% 4.43% 5.36% 6.64% 8.52% 5.99% 5.98% 6.04% 6.00% 5.99% 5.90% 5.80% 5.62% 5.41% 5.21% 5.05% 4.87% 4.75% 4.63% 4.55% 4.49% 4.43% 4.38% 4.34% 4.30% 4.28%
Arkansas Baseline 8.47% 7.85% 7.22% 6.17% 6.21% 3.90% 3.50% 3.47% 3.41% 3.35% 3.51% 2.96% 3.33% 3.00% 3.35% 3.57% 4.32% 5.36% 5.11% 5.41% 5.40% 5.45% 5.42% 5.42% 5.43% 5.43% 5.42% 5.43% 5.43% 5.41% 5.40% 5.39% 5.37% 5.40% 5.43% 5.45% 5.44% 5.43% 5.43% 5.42%
  Optimistic 8.47% 7.85% 7.22% 6.17% 6.21% 3.90% 3.50% 3.47% 3.41% 3.35% 3.51% 2.96% 3.33% 3.00% 3.35% 3.57% 4.32% 5.36% 5.11% 5.41% 5.40% 5.45% 5.42% 5.41% 5.33% 5.24% 5.07% 4.88% 4.71% 4.56% 4.40% 4.29% 4.19% 4.11% 4.05% 4.00% 3.95% 3.91% 3.89% 3.87%
California Baseline 9.75% 9.03% 8.32% 7.11% 7.16% 4.49% 4.03% 4.00% 3.93% 3.85% 4.05% 3.41% 3.84% 3.45% 3.85% 4.11% 4.98% 6.18% 5.30% 5.76% 5.75% 5.81% 5.77% 5.78% 5.79% 5.78% 5.77% 5.79% 5.78% 5.76% 5.75% 5.74% 5.72% 5.75% 5.78% 5.81% 5.80% 5.78% 5.79% 5.77%
  Optimistic 9.75% 9.03% 8.32% 7.11% 7.16% 4.49% 4.03% 4.00% 3.93% 3.85% 4.05% 3.41% 3.84% 3.45% 3.85% 4.11% 4.98% 6.18% 5.30% 5.76% 5.75% 5.81% 5.77% 5.76% 5.68% 5.58% 5.40% 5.20% 5.01% 4.85% 4.69% 4.57% 4.46% 4.38% 4.32% 4.26% 4.21% 4.17% 4.14% 4.12%
Colorado Baseline 9.99% 9.26% 8.53% 7.28% 7.33% 4.60% 4.13% 4.10% 4.03% 3.95% 4.15% 3.49% 3.93% 3.54% 3.95% 4.22% 5.10% 6.33% 6.68% 6.68% 6.66% 6.73% 6.69% 6.70% 6.71% 6.70% 6.69% 6.71% 6.70% 6.67% 6.66% 6.65% 6.63% 6.66% 6.70% 6.73% 6.72% 6.70% 6.71% 6.69%
  Optimistic 9.99% 9.26% 8.53% 7.28% 7.33% 4.60% 4.13% 4.10% 4.03% 3.95% 4.15% 3.49% 3.93% 3.54% 3.95% 4.22% 5.10% 6.33% 6.68% 6.68% 6.66% 6.73% 6.69% 6.67% 6.58% 6.47% 6.26% 6.03% 5.81% 5.63% 5.43% 5.29% 5.17% 5.08% 5.01% 4.94% 4.88% 4.83% 4.80% 4.78%
Connecticut Baseline 9.80% 9.08% 8.36% 7.14% 7.19% 4.51% 4.05% 4.01% 3.95% 3.87% 4.06% 3.43% 3.86% 3.47% 3.87% 4.13% 5.00% 6.20% 6.75% 7.13% 7.12% 7.19% 7.15% 7.15% 7.16% 7.15% 7.14% 7.16% 7.15% 7.13% 7.12% 7.10% 7.08% 7.12% 7.15% 7.19% 7.18% 7.15% 7.16% 7.14%
  Optimistic 9.80% 9.08% 8.36% 7.14% 7.19% 4.51% 4.05% 4.01% 3.95% 3.87% 4.06% 3.43% 3.86% 3.47% 3.87% 4.13% 5.00% 6.20% 6.75% 7.13% 7.12% 7.19% 7.15% 7.13% 7.03% 6.91% 6.69% 6.44% 6.21% 6.01% 5.80% 5.65% 5.52% 5.42% 5.35% 5.27% 5.21% 5.16% 5.12% 5.10%
Delaware Baseline 11.45% 10.61% 9.77% 8.34% 8.40% 5.27% 4.74% 4.69% 4.61% 4.52% 4.75% 4.00% 4.51% 4.05% 4.52% 4.83% 5.85% 7.25% 8.43% 7.79% 7.77% 7.85% 7.81% 7.81% 7.82% 7.81% 7.80% 7.82% 7.81% 7.78% 7.77% 7.76% 7.73% 7.77% 7.81% 7.85% 7.84% 7.81% 7.82% 7.80%
  Optimistic 11.45% 10.61% 9.77% 8.34% 8.40% 5.27% 4.74% 4.69% 4.61% 4.52% 4.75% 4.00% 4.51% 4.05% 4.52% 4.83% 5.85% 7.25% 8.43% 7.79% 7.77% 7.85% 7.81% 7.78% 7.68% 7.54% 7.30% 7.03% 6.78% 6.56% 6.33% 6.17% 6.03% 5.92% 5.84% 5.76% 5.69% 5.64% 5.60% 5.57%
District of Columbia Baseline 9.11% 8.44% 7.77% 6.64% 6.69% 4.20% 3.77% 3.73% 3.67% 3.60% 3.78% 3.19% 3.59% 3.23% 3.60% 3.85% 4.65% 5.77% 6.72% 6.23% 6.21% 6.28% 6.24% 6.24% 6.25% 6.25% 6.23% 6.26% 6.24% 6.22% 6.21% 6.20% 6.18% 6.21% 6.24% 6.28% 6.27% 6.24% 6.26% 6.23%
  Optimistic 9.11% 8.44% 7.77% 6.64% 6.69% 4.20% 3.77% 3.73% 3.67% 3.60% 3.78% 3.19% 3.59% 3.23% 3.60% 3.85% 4.65% 5.77% 6.72% 6.23% 6.21% 6.28% 6.24% 6.22% 6.14% 6.03% 5.84% 5.62% 5.42% 5.25% 5.06% 4.94% 4.82% 4.73% 4.67% 4.60% 4.55% 4.51% 4.47% 4.45%
Florida Baseline 9.06% 8.40% 7.73% 6.61% 6.65% 4.17% 3.75% 3.71% 3.65% 3.58% 3.76% 3.17% 3.57% 3.21% 3.58% 3.82% 4.63% 5.74% 7.14% 7.11% 7.09% 7.17% 7.12% 7.13% 7.14% 7.13% 7.12% 7.14% 7.13% 7.10% 7.09% 7.08% 7.06% 7.09% 7.13% 7.17% 7.15% 7.13% 7.14% 7.12%
  Optimistic 9.06% 8.40% 7.73% 6.61% 6.65% 4.17% 3.75% 3.71% 3.65% 3.58% 3.76% 3.17% 3.57% 3.21% 3.58% 3.82% 4.63% 5.74% 7.14% 7.11% 7.09% 7.17% 7.12% 7.10% 7.01% 6.88% 6.66% 6.42% 6.19% 5.99% 5.78% 5.63% 5.50% 5.40% 5.33% 5.26% 5.19% 5.14% 5.11% 5.08%
Georgia Baseline 7.05% 6.53% 6.01% 5.13% 5.17% 3.24% 2.91% 2.89% 2.84% 2.78% 2.92% 2.46% 2.77% 2.49% 2.78% 2.97% 3.60% 4.46% 4.80% 5.60% 5.58% 5.64% 5.61% 5.61% 5.62% 5.61% 5.60% 5.62% 5.61% 5.59% 5.58% 5.57% 5.55% 5.58% 5.61% 5.64% 5.63% 5.61% 5.62% 5.60%
  Optimistic 7.05% 6.53% 6.01% 5.13% 5.17% 3.24% 2.91% 2.89% 2.84% 2.78% 2.92% 2.46% 2.77% 2.49% 2.78% 2.97% 3.60% 4.46% 4.80% 5.60% 5.58% 5.64% 5.61% 5.59% 5.52% 5.42% 5.25% 5.05% 4.87% 4.72% 4.55% 4.44% 4.33% 4.25% 4.20% 4.14% 4.09% 4.05% 4.02% 4.00%
Hawaii Baseline 9.54% 8.84% 8.14% 6.95% 7.00% 4.39% 3.95% 3.91% 3.85% 3.77% 3.96% 3.34% 3.76% 3.38% 3.77% 4.03% 4.87% 6.04% 5.79% 6.45% 6.44% 6.50% 6.46% 6.47% 6.48% 6.47% 6.46% 6.48% 6.47% 6.45% 6.43% 6.42% 6.40% 6.43% 6.47% 6.50% 6.49% 6.47% 6.48% 6.46%
  Optimistic 9.54% 8.84% 8.14% 6.95% 7.00% 4.39% 3.95% 3.91% 3.85% 3.77% 3.96% 3.34% 3.76% 3.38% 3.77% 4.03% 4.87% 6.04% 5.79% 6.45% 6.44% 6.50% 6.46% 6.45% 6.36% 6.25% 6.05% 5.82% 5.61% 5.43% 5.25% 5.11% 4.99% 4.90% 4.83% 4.77% 4.71% 4.67% 4.63% 4.61%
Idaho Baseline 8.09% 7.50% 6.90% 5.90% 5.94% 3.72% 3.35% 3.32% 3.26% 3.20% 3.36% 2.83% 3.18% 2.86% 3.20% 3.41% 4.13% 5.12% 5.93% 6.38% 6.36% 6.43% 6.39% 6.39% 6.40% 6.40% 6.38% 6.40% 6.39% 6.37% 6.36% 6.35% 6.33% 6.36% 6.39% 6.43% 6.42% 6.39% 6.40% 6.38%
  Optimistic 8.09% 7.50% 6.90% 5.90% 5.94% 3.72% 3.35% 3.32% 3.26% 3.20% 3.36% 2.83% 3.18% 2.86% 3.20% 3.41% 4.13% 5.12% 5.93% 6.38% 6.36% 6.43% 6.39% 6.37% 6.28% 6.17% 5.98% 5.76% 5.55% 5.37% 5.19% 5.05% 4.93% 4.84% 4.78% 4.71% 4.66% 4.61% 4.58% 4.56%
Illinois Baseline 9.03% 8.37% 7.70% 6.58% 6.63% 4.16% 3.74% 3.70% 3.64% 3.57% 3.75% 3.16% 3.55% 3.20% 3.57% 3.81% 4.61% 5.72% 6.28% 5.42% 5.40% 5.46% 5.43% 5.43% 5.44% 5.43% 5.42% 5.44% 5.43% 5.41% 5.40% 5.39% 5.38% 5.40% 5.43% 5.46% 5.45% 5.43% 5.44% 5.42%
  Optimistic 9.03% 8.37% 7.70% 6.58% 6.63% 4.16% 3.74% 3.70% 3.64% 3.57% 3.75% 3.16% 3.55% 3.20% 3.57% 3.81% 4.61% 5.72% 6.28% 5.42% 5.40% 5.46% 5.43% 5.41% 5.34% 5.25% 5.08% 4.89% 4.71% 4.56% 4.41% 4.29% 4.19% 4.12% 4.06% 4.00% 3.96% 3.92% 3.89% 3.87%
Indiana Baseline 7.97% 7.38% 6.80% 5.81% 5.85% 3.67% 3.30% 3.27% 3.21% 3.15% 3.31% 2.79% 3.14% 2.82% 3.15% 3.36% 4.07% 5.05% 5.58% 5.85% 5.84% 5.90% 5.86% 5.86% 5.87% 5.87% 5.86% 5.88% 5.87% 5.85% 5.84% 5.83% 5.81% 5.84% 5.87% 5.90% 5.89% 5.87% 5.88% 5.86%
  Optimistic 7.97% 7.38% 6.80% 5.81% 5.85% 3.67% 3.30% 3.27% 3.21% 3.15% 3.31% 2.79% 3.14% 2.82% 3.15% 3.36% 4.07% 5.05% 5.58% 5.85% 5.84% 5.90% 5.86% 5.85% 5.76% 5.66% 5.48% 5.28% 5.09% 4.93% 4.76% 4.64% 4.53% 4.44% 4.38% 4.32% 4.27% 4.23% 4.20% 4.18%
Iowa Baseline 8.09% 7.50% 6.90% 5.90% 5.94% 3.73% 3.35% 3.32% 3.26% 3.20% 3.36% 2.83% 3.19% 2.86% 3.20% 3.41% 4.13% 5.12% 6.45% 6.92% 6.90% 6.98% 6.93% 6.94% 6.95% 6.94% 6.93% 6.95% 6.94% 6.92% 6.90% 6.89% 6.87% 6.90% 6.94% 6.97% 6.96% 6.94% 6.95% 6.93%
  Optimistic 8.09% 7.50% 6.90% 5.90% 5.94% 3.73% 3.35% 3.32% 3.26% 3.20% 3.36% 2.83% 3.19% 2.86% 3.20% 3.41% 4.13% 5.12% 6.45% 6.92% 6.90% 6.98% 6.93% 6.92% 6.82% 6.70% 6.49% 6.25% 6.02% 5.83% 5.63% 5.48% 5.35% 5.26% 5.19% 5.11% 5.06% 5.01% 4.97% 4.95%
Kansas Baseline 8.12% 7.52% 6.92% 5.92% 5.96% 3.74% 3.36% 3.33% 3.27% 3.21% 3.37% 2.84% 3.20% 2.87% 3.21% 3.42% 4.14% 5.14% 5.01% 4.00% 3.99% 4.03% 4.01% 4.01% 4.01% 4.01% 4.00% 4.02% 4.01% 3.99% 3.99% 3.98% 3.97% 3.99% 4.01% 4.03% 4.02% 4.01% 4.02% 4.00%
  Optimistic 8.12% 7.52% 6.92% 5.92% 5.96% 3.74% 3.36% 3.33% 3.27% 3.21% 3.37% 2.84% 3.20% 2.87% 3.21% 3.42% 4.14% 5.14% 5.01% 4.00% 3.99% 4.03% 4.01% 3.99% 3.94% 3.87% 3.75% 3.61% 3.48% 3.37% 3.25% 3.17% 3.09% 3.04% 3.00% 2.95% 2.92% 2.89% 2.87% 2.86%
Kentucky Baseline 4.93% 4.57% 4.21% 3.59% 3.62% 2.27% 2.04% 2.02% 1.99% 1.95% 2.05% 1.72% 1.94% 1.75% 1.95% 2.08% 2.52% 3.12% 3.44% 3.39% 3.39% 3.42% 3.40% 3.40% 3.41% 3.40% 3.40% 3.41% 3.40% 3.39% 3.39% 3.38% 3.37% 3.39% 3.40% 3.42% 3.41% 3.40% 3.41% 3.40%
  Optimistic 4.93% 4.57% 4.21% 3.59% 3.62% 2.27% 2.04% 2.02% 1.99% 1.95% 2.05% 1.72% 1.94% 1.75% 1.95% 2.08% 2.52% 3.12% 3.44% 3.39% 3.39% 3.42% 3.40% 3.39% 3.34% 3.29% 3.18% 3.06% 2.95% 2.86% 2.76% 2.69% 2.63% 2.58% 2.54% 2.51% 2.48% 2.46% 2.44% 2.43%
Louisiana Baseline 8.68% 8.04% 7.40% 6.32% 6.37% 3.99% 3.59% 3.55% 3.50% 3.43% 3.60% 3.03% 3.41% 3.07% 3.43% 3.66% 4.43% 5.49% 4.34% 6.81% 6.79% 6.86% 6.82% 6.82% 6.83% 6.82% 6.81% 6.83% 6.82% 6.80% 6.79% 6.78% 6.75% 6.79% 6.82% 6.86% 6.85% 6.82% 6.83% 6.81%
  Optimistic 8.68% 8.04% 7.40% 6.32% 6.37% 3.99% 3.59% 3.55% 3.50% 3.43% 3.60% 3.03% 3.41% 3.07% 3.43% 3.66% 4.43% 5.49% 4.34% 6.81% 6.79% 6.86% 6.82% 6.80% 6.71% 6.59% 6.38% 6.14% 5.92% 5.73% 5.53% 5.39% 5.26% 5.17% 5.10% 5.03% 4.97% 4.92% 4.89% 4.86%
Maine Baseline 10.33% 9.57% 8.82% 7.53% 7.58% 4.76% 4.27% 4.23% 4.17% 4.08% 4.29% 3.61% 4.07% 3.66% 4.08% 4.36% 5.28% 6.54% 7.69% 6.80% 6.78% 6.85% 6.81% 6.82% 6.83% 6.82% 6.81% 6.83% 6.82% 6.79% 6.78% 6.77% 6.75% 6.78% 6.82% 6.85% 6.84% 6.82% 6.83% 6.81%
  Optimistic 10.33% 9.57% 8.82% 7.53% 7.58% 4.76% 4.27% 4.23% 4.17% 4.08% 4.29% 3.61% 4.07% 3.66% 4.08% 4.36% 5.28% 6.54% 7.69% 6.80% 6.78% 6.85% 6.81% 6.79% 6.70% 6.58% 6.37% 6.14% 5.92% 5.73% 5.53% 5.39% 5.26% 5.17% 5.10% 5.03% 4.97% 4.92% 4.88% 4.86%
Maryland Baseline 9.07% 8.41% 7.74% 6.61% 6.66% 4.18% 3.75% 3.72% 3.66% 3.59% 3.76% 3.17% 3.57% 3.21% 3.59% 3.83% 4.63% 5.75% 5.72% 5.99% 5.97% 6.04% 6.00% 6.00% 6.01% 6.01% 5.99% 6.01% 6.00% 5.98% 5.97% 5.96% 5.94% 5.97% 6.00% 6.04% 6.02% 6.00% 6.01% 5.99%
  Optimistic 9.07% 8.41% 7.74% 6.61% 6.66% 4.18% 3.75% 3.72% 3.66% 3.59% 3.76% 3.17% 3.57% 3.21% 3.59% 3.83% 4.63% 5.75% 5.72% 5.99% 5.97% 6.04% 6.00% 5.98% 5.90% 5.80% 5.61% 5.41% 5.21% 5.04% 4.87% 4.75% 4.63% 4.55% 4.49% 4.43% 4.37% 4.33% 4.30% 4.28%
Massachusetts Baseline 11.77% 10.91% 10.04% 8.58% 8.64% 5.42% 4.87% 4.82% 4.75% 4.65% 4.89% 4.12% 4.64% 4.17% 4.65% 4.97% 6.01% 7.46% 8.22% 7.43% 7.41% 7.49% 7.44% 7.45% 7.46% 7.45% 7.44% 7.46% 7.45% 7.42% 7.41% 7.40% 7.37% 7.41% 7.45% 7.49% 7.47% 7.45% 7.46% 7.44%
  Optimistic 11.77% 10.91% 10.04% 8.58% 8.64% 5.42% 4.87% 4.82% 4.75% 4.65% 4.89% 4.12% 4.64% 4.17% 4.65% 4.97% 6.01% 7.46% 8.22% 7.43% 7.41% 7.49% 7.44% 7.42% 7.32% 7.19% 6.96% 6.71% 6.46% 6.26% 6.04% 5.89% 5.75% 5.64% 5.57% 5.49% 5.43% 5.38% 5.34% 5.31%
Michigan Baseline 10.13% 9.39% 8.65% 7.39% 7.44% 4.67% 4.19% 4.15% 4.09% 4.01% 4.20% 3.54% 3.99% 3.59% 4.00% 4.28% 5.17% 6.42% 6.38% 6.75% 6.73% 6.80% 6.76% 6.77% 6.78% 6.77% 6.75% 6.78% 6.77% 6.74% 6.73% 6.72% 6.70% 6.73% 6.77% 6.80% 6.79% 6.77% 6.78% 6.75%
  Optimistic 10.13% 9.39% 8.65% 7.39% 7.44% 4.67% 4.19% 4.15% 4.09% 4.01% 4.20% 3.54% 3.99% 3.59% 4.00% 4.28% 5.17% 6.42% 6.38% 6.75% 6.73% 6.80% 6.76% 6.74% 6.65% 6.53% 6.32% 6.09% 5.87% 5.69% 5.49% 5.35% 5.22% 5.13% 5.06% 4.99% 4.93% 4.88% 4.85% 4.82%
Minnesota Baseline 10.22% 9.47% 8.71% 7.45% 7.50% 4.70% 4.23% 4.19% 4.12% 4.04% 4.24% 3.57% 4.02% 3.62% 4.04% 4.31% 5.22% 6.47% 6.28% 6.40% 6.38% 6.45% 6.41% 6.41% 6.42% 6.41% 6.40% 6.42% 6.41% 6.39% 6.38% 6.37% 6.35% 6.38% 6.41% 6.44% 6.43% 6.41% 6.42% 6.40%
  Optimistic 10.22% 9.47% 8.71% 7.45% 7.50% 4.70% 4.23% 4.19% 4.12% 4.04% 4.24% 3.57% 4.02% 3.62% 4.04% 4.31% 5.22% 6.47% 6.28% 6.40% 6.38% 6.45% 6.41% 6.39% 6.30% 6.19% 5.99% 5.77% 5.56% 5.39% 5.20% 5.07% 4.95% 4.86% 4.79% 4.73% 4.67% 4.63% 4.59% 4.57%
Mississippi Baseline 8.00% 7.41% 6.82% 5.83% 5.87% 3.68% 3.31% 3.28% 3.22% 3.16% 3.32% 2.80% 3.15% 2.83% 3.16% 3.37% 4.08% 5.06% 4.68% 5.27% 5.26% 5.31% 5.28% 5.29% 5.29% 5.29% 5.28% 5.30% 5.29% 5.27% 5.26% 5.25% 5.23% 5.26% 5.29% 5.31% 5.30% 5.29% 5.30% 5.28%
  Optimistic 8.00% 7.41% 6.82% 5.83% 5.87% 3.68% 3.31% 3.28% 3.22% 3.16% 3.32% 2.80% 3.15% 2.83% 3.16% 3.37% 4.08% 5.06% 4.68% 5.27% 5.26% 5.31% 5.28% 5.27% 5.20% 5.11% 4.94% 4.76% 4.59% 4.44% 4.29% 4.18% 4.08% 4.01% 3.95% 3.90% 3.85% 3.82% 3.79% 3.77%
Missouri Baseline 8.26% 7.65% 7.04% 6.02% 6.06% 3.80% 3.42% 3.38% 3.33% 3.26% 3.43% 2.89% 3.25% 2.92% 3.26% 3.48% 4.22% 5.23% 6.30% 5.04% 5.03% 5.08% 5.05% 5.05% 5.06% 5.06% 5.05% 5.06% 5.06% 5.04% 5.03% 5.02% 5.00% 5.03% 5.06% 5.08% 5.07% 5.06% 5.06% 5.05%
  Optimistic 8.26% 7.65% 7.04% 6.02% 6.06% 3.80% 3.42% 3.38% 3.33% 3.26% 3.43% 2.89% 3.25% 2.92% 3.26% 3.48% 4.22% 5.23% 6.30% 5.04% 5.03% 5.08% 5.05% 5.04% 4.97% 4.88% 4.73% 4.55% 4.39% 4.25% 4.10% 4.00% 3.90% 3.83% 3.78% 3.73% 3.68% 3.65% 3.62% 3.60%
Montana Baseline 7.83% 7.25% 6.68% 5.71% 5.75% 3.60% 3.24% 3.21% 3.16% 3.09% 3.25% 2.74% 3.08% 2.77% 3.09% 3.30% 4.00% 4.96% 8.03% 6.44% 6.43% 6.50% 6.46% 6.46% 6.47% 6.46% 6.45% 6.47% 6.46% 6.44% 6.43% 6.42% 6.39% 6.43% 6.46% 6.49% 6.48% 6.46% 6.47% 6.45%
  Optimistic 7.83% 7.25% 6.68% 5.71% 5.75% 3.60% 3.24% 3.21% 3.16% 3.09% 3.25% 2.74% 3.08% 2.77% 3.09% 3.30% 4.00% 4.96% 8.03% 6.44% 6.43% 6.50% 6.46% 6.44% 6.35% 6.24% 6.04% 5.82% 5.61% 5.43% 5.24% 5.11% 4.98% 4.90% 4.83% 4.76% 4.71% 4.66% 4.63% 4.61%
Nebraska Baseline 7.21% 6.68% 6.15% 5.26% 5.29% 3.32% 2.98% 2.96% 2.91% 2.85% 2.99% 2.52% 2.84% 2.55% 2.85% 3.04% 3.68% 4.57% 5.55% 6.12% 6.11% 6.17% 6.14% 6.14% 6.15% 6.14% 6.13% 6.15% 6.14% 6.12% 6.11% 6.10% 6.08% 6.11% 6.14% 6.17% 6.16% 6.14% 6.15% 6.13%
  Optimistic 7.21% 6.68% 6.15% 5.26% 5.29% 3.32% 2.98% 2.96% 2.91% 2.85% 2.99% 2.52% 2.84% 2.55% 2.85% 3.04% 3.68% 4.57% 5.55% 6.12% 6.11% 6.17% 6.14% 6.12% 6.03% 5.93% 5.74% 5.53% 5.33% 5.16% 4.98% 4.85% 4.74% 4.65% 4.59% 4.53% 4.47% 4.43% 4.40% 4.38%
Nevada Baseline 14.61% 13.54% 12.46% 10.65% 10.72% 6.73% 6.04% 5.99% 5.89% 5.77% 6.06% 5.11% 5.75% 5.17% 5.77% 6.16% 7.46% 9.25% 8.39% 7.43% 7.41% 7.49% 7.44% 7.45% 7.46% 7.45% 7.43% 7.46% 7.45% 7.42% 7.41% 7.40% 7.37% 7.41% 7.45% 7.49% 7.47% 7.45% 7.46% 7.43%
  Optimistic 14.61% 13.54% 12.46% 10.65% 10.72% 6.73% 6.04% 5.99% 5.89% 5.77% 6.06% 5.11% 5.75% 5.17% 5.77% 6.16% 7.46% 9.25% 8.39% 7.43% 7.41% 7.49% 7.44% 7.42% 7.32% 7.19% 6.96% 6.70% 6.46% 6.26% 6.04% 5.89% 5.75% 5.64% 5.57% 5.49% 5.43% 5.37% 5.34% 5.31%
New Hampshire Baseline 12.46% 11.55% 10.63% 9.08% 9.15% 5.74% 5.16% 5.11% 5.02% 4.93% 5.17% 4.36% 4.91% 4.41% 4.92% 5.26% 6.36% 7.89% 8.27% 7.78% 7.76% 7.84% 7.79% 7.79% 7.81% 7.80% 7.78% 7.81% 7.80% 7.77% 7.76% 7.74% 7.72% 7.76% 7.80% 7.84% 7.82% 7.80% 7.81% 7.78%
  Optimistic 12.46% 11.55% 10.63% 9.08% 9.15% 5.74% 5.16% 5.11% 5.02% 4.93% 5.17% 4.36% 4.91% 4.41% 4.92% 5.26% 6.36% 7.89% 8.27% 7.78% 7.76% 7.84% 7.79% 7.77% 7.66% 7.53% 7.29% 7.02% 6.76% 6.55% 6.32% 6.16% 6.01% 5.91% 5.83% 5.75% 5.68% 5.63% 5.59% 5.56%
New Jersey Baseline 7.13% 6.61% 6.09% 5.20% 5.24% 3.28% 2.95% 2.92% 2.88% 2.82% 2.96% 2.49% 2.81% 2.53% 2.82% 3.01% 3.64% 4.52% 4.49% 5.36% 5.35% 5.40% 5.37% 5.37% 5.38% 5.37% 5.36% 5.38% 5.37% 5.35% 5.34% 5.34% 5.32% 5.34% 5.37% 5.40% 5.39% 5.37% 5.38% 5.36%
  Optimistic 7.13% 6.61% 6.09% 5.20% 5.24% 3.28% 2.95% 2.92% 2.88% 2.82% 2.96% 2.49% 2.81% 2.53% 2.82% 3.01% 3.64% 4.52% 4.49% 5.36% 5.35% 5.40% 5.37% 5.35% 5.28% 5.19% 5.02% 4.84% 4.66% 4.51% 4.36% 4.25% 4.14% 4.07% 4.02% 3.96% 3.91% 3.88% 3.85% 3.83%
New Mexico Baseline 9.84% 9.11% 8.39% 7.17% 7.22% 4.53% 4.07% 4.03% 3.97% 3.89% 4.08% 3.44% 3.87% 3.48% 3.89% 4.15% 5.02% 6.23% 5.77% 5.75% 5.73% 5.79% 5.76% 5.76% 5.77% 5.76% 5.75% 5.77% 5.76% 5.74% 5.73% 5.72% 5.70% 5.73% 5.76% 5.79% 5.78% 5.76% 5.77% 5.75%
  Optimistic 9.84% 9.11% 8.39% 7.17% 7.22% 4.53% 4.07% 4.03% 3.97% 3.89% 4.08% 3.44% 3.87% 3.48% 3.89% 4.15% 5.02% 6.23% 5.77% 5.75% 5.73% 5.79% 5.76% 5.74% 5.66% 5.56% 5.38% 5.19% 5.00% 4.84% 4.67% 4.55% 4.44% 4.37% 4.31% 4.25% 4.20% 4.16% 4.13% 4.11%
New York Baseline 8.16% 7.56% 6.96% 5.95% 5.99% 3.76% 3.38% 3.34% 3.29% 3.22% 3.39% 2.85% 3.21% 2.89% 3.22% 3.44% 4.17% 5.17% 5.19% 5.63% 5.61% 5.67% 5.64% 5.64% 5.65% 5.64% 5.63% 5.65% 5.64% 5.62% 5.61% 5.60% 5.58% 5.61% 5.64% 5.67% 5.66% 5.64% 5.65% 5.63%
  Optimistic 8.16% 7.56% 6.96% 5.95% 5.99% 3.76% 3.38% 3.34% 3.29% 3.22% 3.39% 2.85% 3.21% 2.89% 3.22% 3.44% 4.17% 5.17% 5.19% 5.63% 5.61% 5.67% 5.64% 5.62% 5.54% 5.45% 5.27% 5.08% 4.89% 4.74% 4.57% 4.46% 4.35% 4.27% 4.22% 4.16% 4.11% 4.07% 4.04% 4.02%
North Carolina Baseline 7.29% 6.75% 6.22% 5.31% 5.35% 3.35% 3.01% 2.99% 2.94% 2.88% 3.02% 2.55% 2.87% 2.58% 2.88% 3.07% 3.72% 4.61% 3.53% 3.23% 3.22% 3.25% 3.23% 3.23% 3.24% 3.23% 3.23% 3.24% 3.23% 3.22% 3.22% 3.21% 3.20% 3.22% 3.23% 3.25% 3.24% 3.23% 3.24% 3.23%
  Optimistic 7.29% 6.75% 6.22% 5.31% 5.35% 3.35% 3.01% 2.99% 2.94% 2.88% 3.02% 2.55% 2.87% 2.58% 2.88% 3.07% 3.72% 4.61% 3.53% 3.23% 3.22% 3.25% 3.23% 3.22% 3.18% 3.12% 3.02% 2.91% 2.81% 2.72% 2.62% 2.56% 2.49% 2.45% 2.42% 2.38% 2.36% 2.33% 2.32% 2.31%
North Dakota Baseline 7.63% 7.07% 6.51% 5.56% 5.60% 3.51% 3.16% 3.13% 3.08% 3.02% 3.17% 2.67% 3.00% 2.70% 3.02% 3.22% 3.90% 4.83% 5.38% 5.40% 5.39% 5.44% 5.41% 5.41% 5.42% 5.41% 5.40% 5.42% 5.41% 5.39% 5.39% 5.38% 5.36% 5.39% 5.41% 5.44% 5.43% 5.41% 5.42% 5.40%
  Optimistic 7.63% 7.07% 6.51% 5.56% 5.60% 3.51% 3.16% 3.13% 3.08% 3.02% 3.17% 2.67% 3.00% 2.70% 3.02% 3.22% 3.90% 4.83% 5.38% 5.40% 5.39% 5.44% 5.41% 5.39% 5.32% 5.23% 5.06% 4.87% 4.70% 4.55% 4.39% 4.28% 4.18% 4.10% 4.05% 3.99% 3.94% 3.91% 3.88% 3.86%
Ohio Baseline 8.76% 8.11% 7.47% 6.38% 6.43% 4.03% 3.62% 3.59% 3.53% 3.46% 3.63% 3.06% 3.45% 3.10% 3.46% 3.69% 4.47% 5.55% 6.94% 6.11% 6.10% 6.16% 6.12% 6.13% 6.14% 6.13% 6.12% 6.14% 6.13% 6.11% 6.10% 6.09% 6.07% 6.10% 6.13% 6.16% 6.15% 6.13% 6.14% 6.12%
  Optimistic 8.76% 8.11% 7.47% 6.38% 6.43% 4.03% 3.62% 3.59% 3.53% 3.46% 3.63% 3.06% 3.45% 3.10% 3.46% 3.69% 4.47% 5.55% 6.94% 6.11% 6.10% 6.16% 6.12% 6.11% 6.02% 5.92% 5.73% 5.52% 5.32% 5.15% 4.97% 4.84% 4.73% 4.64% 4.58% 4.52% 4.47% 4.42% 4.39% 4.37%
Oklahoma Baseline 6.05% 5.60% 5.16% 4.41% 4.44% 2.78% 2.50% 2.48% 2.44% 2.39% 2.51% 2.11% 2.38% 2.14% 2.39% 2.55% 3.09% 3.83% 3.87% 4.56% 4.54% 4.59% 4.56% 4.57% 4.57% 4.57% 4.56% 4.57% 4.57% 4.55% 4.54% 4.54% 4.52% 4.54% 4.57% 4.59% 4.58% 4.57% 4.57% 4.56%
  Optimistic 6.05% 5.60% 5.16% 4.41% 4.44% 2.78% 2.50% 2.48% 2.44% 2.39% 2.51% 2.11% 2.38% 2.14% 2.39% 2.55% 3.09% 3.83% 3.87% 4.56% 4.54% 4.59% 4.56% 4.55% 4.49% 4.41% 4.27% 4.11% 3.96% 3.84% 3.70% 3.61% 3.52% 3.46% 3.41% 3.37% 3.33% 3.30% 3.27% 3.26%
Oregon Baseline 11.29% 10.46% 9.63% 8.23% 8.29% 5.20% 4.67% 4.63% 4.55% 4.46% 4.68% 3.95% 4.44% 4.00% 4.46% 4.76% 5.77% 7.15% 7.28% 6.51% 6.49% 6.56% 6.52% 6.52% 6.53% 6.53% 6.51% 6.54% 6.53% 6.50% 6.49% 6.48% 6.46% 6.49% 6.53% 6.56% 6.55% 6.53% 6.54% 6.51%
  Optimistic 11.29% 10.46% 9.63% 8.23% 8.29% 5.20% 4.67% 4.63% 4.55% 4.46% 4.68% 3.95% 4.44% 4.00% 4.46% 4.76% 5.77% 7.15% 7.28% 6.51% 6.49% 6.56% 6.52% 6.50% 6.41% 6.30% 6.10% 5.87% 5.66% 5.48% 5.29% 5.16% 5.03% 4.94% 4.88% 4.81% 4.75% 4.71% 4.68% 4.65%
Pennsylvania Baseline 9.02% 8.36% 7.70% 6.57% 6.62% 4.15% 3.73% 3.70% 3.64% 3.56% 3.74% 3.15% 3.55% 3.19% 3.56% 3.81% 4.61% 5.71% 6.33% 6.15% 6.13% 6.19% 6.16% 6.16% 6.17% 6.16% 6.15% 6.17% 6.16% 6.14% 6.13% 6.12% 6.10% 6.13% 6.16% 6.19% 6.18% 6.16% 6.17% 6.15%
  Optimistic 9.02% 8.36% 7.70% 6.57% 6.62% 4.15% 3.73% 3.70% 3.64% 3.56% 3.74% 3.15% 3.55% 3.19% 3.56% 3.81% 4.61% 5.71% 6.33% 6.15% 6.13% 6.19% 6.16% 6.14% 6.06% 5.95% 5.76% 5.55% 5.35% 5.18% 5.00% 4.87% 4.75% 4.67% 4.61% 4.54% 4.49% 4.45% 4.41% 4.39%
Rhode Island Baseline 11.92% 11.04% 10.17% 8.69% 8.75% 5.49% 4.93% 4.88% 4.80% 4.71% 4.95% 4.17% 4.69% 4.22% 4.71% 5.03% 6.09% 7.55% 7.75% 8.23% 8.21% 8.30% 8.25% 8.25% 8.27% 8.25% 8.24% 8.27% 8.25% 8.22% 8.21% 8.20% 8.17% 8.21% 8.25% 8.30% 8.28% 8.25% 8.27% 8.24%
  Optimistic 11.92% 11.04% 10.17% 8.69% 8.75% 5.49% 4.93% 4.88% 4.80% 4.71% 4.95% 4.17% 4.69% 4.22% 4.71% 5.03% 6.09% 7.55% 7.75% 8.23% 8.21% 8.30% 8.25% 8.22% 8.11% 7.97% 7.71% 7.43% 7.16% 6.93% 6.69% 6.52% 6.37% 6.25% 6.17% 6.08% 6.01% 5.96% 5.91% 5.88%
South Carolina Baseline 9.62% 8.91% 8.21% 7.01% 7.06% 4.43% 3.98% 3.94% 3.88% 3.80% 3.99% 3.36% 3.79% 3.40% 3.80% 4.06% 4.91% 6.09% 5.99% 6.19% 6.17% 6.23% 6.20% 6.20% 6.21% 6.20% 6.19% 6.21% 6.20% 6.18% 6.17% 6.16% 6.14% 6.17% 6.20% 6.23% 6.22% 6.20% 6.21% 6.19%
  Optimistic 9.62% 8.91% 8.21% 7.01% 7.06% 4.43% 3.98% 3.94% 3.88% 3.80% 3.99% 3.36% 3.79% 3.40% 3.80% 4.06% 4.91% 6.09% 5.99% 6.19% 6.17% 6.23% 6.20% 6.18% 6.09% 5.99% 5.80% 5.58% 5.38% 5.21% 5.03% 4.90% 4.78% 4.70% 4.64% 4.57% 4.52% 4.48% 4.44% 4.42%
South Dakota Baseline 8.14% 7.54% 6.94% 5.93% 5.97% 3.75% 3.37% 3.33% 3.28% 3.22% 3.38% 2.85% 3.20% 2.88% 3.22% 3.43% 4.16% 5.15% 4.33% 5.26% 5.25% 5.30% 5.27% 5.27% 5.28% 5.27% 5.26% 5.28% 5.27% 5.25% 5.24% 5.24% 5.22% 5.24% 5.27% 5.30% 5.29% 5.27% 5.28% 5.26%
  Optimistic 8.14% 7.54% 6.94% 5.93% 5.97% 3.75% 3.37% 3.33% 3.28% 3.22% 3.38% 2.85% 3.20% 2.88% 3.22% 3.43% 4.16% 5.15% 4.33% 5.26% 5.25% 5.30% 5.27% 5.25% 5.18% 5.09% 4.93% 4.75% 4.57% 4.43% 4.28% 4.17% 4.07% 3.99% 3.94% 3.89% 3.84% 3.80% 3.78% 3.76%
Tennessee Baseline 3.61% 3.34% 3.08% 2.63% 2.65% 1.66% 1.49% 1.48% 1.45% 1.43% 1.50% 1.26% 1.42% 1.28% 1.43% 1.52% 1.84% 2.29% 3.42% 2.17% 2.16% 2.19% 2.17% 2.17% 2.18% 2.18% 2.17% 2.18% 2.17% 2.17% 2.16% 2.16% 2.15% 2.16% 2.17% 2.19% 2.18% 2.17% 2.18% 2.17%
  Optimistic 3.61% 3.34% 3.08% 2.63% 2.65% 1.66% 1.49% 1.48% 1.45% 1.43% 1.50% 1.26% 1.42% 1.28% 1.43% 1.52% 1.84% 2.29% 3.42% 2.17% 2.16% 2.19% 2.17% 2.17% 2.14% 2.10% 2.03% 1.96% 1.89% 1.83% 1.76% 1.72% 1.68% 1.65% 1.63% 1.60% 1.58% 1.57% 1.56% 1.55%
Texas Baseline 9.23% 8.55% 7.87% 6.72% 6.77% 4.25% 3.82% 3.78% 3.72% 3.65% 3.83% 3.23% 3.63% 3.27% 3.65% 3.89% 4.71% 5.84% 7.44% 6.16% 6.14% 6.21% 6.17% 6.17% 6.18% 6.17% 6.16% 6.18% 6.17% 6.15% 6.14% 6.13% 6.11% 6.14% 6.17% 6.20% 6.19% 6.17% 6.18% 6.16%
  Optimistic 9.23% 8.55% 7.87% 6.72% 6.77% 4.25% 3.82% 3.78% 3.72% 3.65% 3.83% 3.23% 3.63% 3.27% 3.65% 3.89% 4.71% 5.84% 7.44% 6.16% 6.14% 6.21% 6.17% 6.15% 6.07% 5.96% 5.77% 5.56% 5.36% 5.19% 5.01% 4.88% 4.76% 4.68% 4.61% 4.55% 4.50% 4.45% 4.42% 4.40%
Utah Baseline 5.74% 5.31% 4.89% 4.18% 4.21% 2.64% 2.37% 2.35% 2.31% 2.27% 2.38% 2.01% 2.26% 2.03% 2.27% 2.42% 2.93% 3.63% 3.06% 3.14% 3.13% 3.17% 3.15% 3.15% 3.16% 3.15% 3.15% 3.16% 3.15% 3.14% 3.13% 3.13% 3.12% 3.13% 3.15% 3.17% 3.16% 3.15% 3.16% 3.15%
  Optimistic 5.74% 5.31% 4.89% 4.18% 4.21% 2.64% 2.37% 2.35% 2.31% 2.27% 2.38% 2.01% 2.26% 2.03% 2.27% 2.42% 2.93% 3.63% 3.06% 3.14% 3.13% 3.17% 3.15% 3.14% 3.10% 3.04% 2.95% 2.84% 2.73% 2.65% 2.56% 2.49% 2.43% 2.39% 2.36% 2.32% 2.30% 2.27% 2.26% 2.25%
Vermont Baseline 11.80% 10.93% 10.07% 8.60% 8.66% 5.43% 4.88% 4.84% 4.76% 4.66% 4.90% 4.13% 4.65% 4.18% 4.66% 4.98% 6.03% 7.47% 8.80% 7.79% 7.77% 7.86% 7.81% 7.81% 7.82% 7.81% 7.80% 7.83% 7.81% 7.79% 7.77% 7.76% 7.73% 7.77% 7.81% 7.85% 7.84% 7.81% 7.83% 7.80%
  Optimistic 11.80% 10.93% 10.07% 8.60% 8.66% 5.43% 4.88% 4.84% 4.76% 4.66% 4.90% 4.13% 4.65% 4.18% 4.66% 4.98% 6.03% 7.47% 8.80% 7.79% 7.77% 7.86% 7.81% 7.79% 7.68% 7.54% 7.30% 7.03% 6.78% 6.56% 6.34% 6.18% 6.03% 5.92% 5.84% 5.76% 5.69% 5.64% 5.60% 5.57%
Virginia Baseline 8.10% 7.51% 6.91% 5.90% 5.95% 3.73% 3.35% 3.32% 3.27% 3.20% 3.36% 2.83% 3.19% 2.87% 3.20% 3.42% 4.14% 5.13% 6.38% 5.30% 5.29% 5.35% 5.31% 5.32% 5.33% 5.32% 5.31% 5.33% 5.32% 5.30% 5.29% 5.28% 5.26% 5.29% 5.32% 5.35% 5.34% 5.32% 5.33% 5.31%
  Optimistic 8.10% 7.51% 6.91% 5.90% 5.95% 3.73% 3.35% 3.32% 3.27% 3.20% 3.36% 2.83% 3.19% 2.87% 3.20% 3.42% 4.14% 5.13% 6.38% 5.30% 5.29% 5.35% 5.31% 5.30% 5.23% 5.14% 4.97% 4.79% 4.61% 4.47% 4.31% 4.20% 4.10% 4.03% 3.97% 3.92% 3.87% 3.84% 3.81% 3.79%
Washington Baseline 8.77% 8.13% 7.48% 6.39% 6.44% 4.04% 3.63% 3.59% 3.54% 3.47% 3.64% 3.07% 3.45% 3.10% 3.47% 3.70% 4.48% 5.55% 5.63% 5.81% 5.80% 5.86% 5.82% 5.83% 5.84% 5.83% 5.82% 5.84% 5.83% 5.81% 5.80% 5.79% 5.77% 5.80% 5.83% 5.86% 5.85% 5.83% 5.84% 5.82%
  Optimistic 8.77% 8.13% 7.48% 6.39% 6.44% 4.04% 3.63% 3.59% 3.54% 3.47% 3.64% 3.07% 3.45% 3.10% 3.47% 3.70% 4.48% 5.55% 5.63% 5.81% 5.80% 5.86% 5.82% 5.81% 5.73% 5.63% 5.45% 5.25% 5.06% 4.90% 4.73% 4.61% 4.50% 4.42% 4.36% 4.30% 4.25% 4.21% 4.18% 4.16%
West Virginia Baseline 5.80% 5.38% 4.95% 4.23% 4.26% 2.67% 2.40% 2.38% 2.34% 2.29% 2.41% 2.03% 2.28% 2.05% 2.29% 2.45% 2.96% 3.68% 4.78% 3.69% 3.68% 3.72% 3.69% 3.70% 3.70% 3.70% 3.69% 3.70% 3.70% 3.68% 3.68% 3.67% 3.66% 3.68% 3.70% 3.72% 3.71% 3.70% 3.70% 3.69%
  Optimistic 5.80% 5.38% 4.95% 4.23% 4.26% 2.67% 2.40% 2.38% 2.34% 2.29% 2.41% 2.03% 2.28% 2.05% 2.29% 2.45% 2.96% 3.68% 4.78% 3.69% 3.68% 3.72% 3.69% 3.68% 3.63% 3.57% 3.46% 3.33% 3.21% 3.11% 3.00% 2.92% 2.85% 2.80% 2.76% 2.72% 2.69% 2.67% 2.65% 2.64%
Wisconsin Baseline 14.41% 13.36% 12.30% 10.51% 10.58% 6.64% 5.96% 5.91% 5.81% 5.70% 5.98% 5.04% 5.67% 5.10% 5.70% 6.08% 7.36% 9.13% 8.00% 8.09% 8.07% 8.15% 8.10% 8.11% 8.12% 8.11% 8.09% 8.12% 8.11% 8.08% 8.07% 8.05% 8.02% 8.07% 8.11% 8.15% 8.14% 8.11% 8.12% 8.09%
  Optimistic 14.41% 13.36% 12.30% 10.51% 10.58% 6.64% 5.96% 5.91% 5.81% 5.70% 5.98% 5.04% 5.67% 5.10% 5.70% 6.08% 7.36% 9.13% 8.00% 8.09% 8.07% 8.15% 8.10% 8.08% 7.97% 7.83% 7.58% 7.30% 7.04% 6.81% 6.58% 6.41% 6.26% 6.14% 6.06% 5.98% 5.91% 5.85% 5.81% 5.78%
Wyoming Baseline 9.98% 9.25% 8.51% 7.27% 7.32% 4.59% 4.13% 4.09% 4.02% 3.94% 4.14% 3.49% 3.93% 3.53% 3.94% 4.21% 5.10% 6.32% 6.62% 6.48% 6.47% 6.53% 6.49% 6.50% 6.51% 6.50% 6.49% 6.51% 6.50% 6.48% 6.47% 6.45% 6.43% 6.47% 6.50% 6.53% 6.52% 6.50% 6.51% 6.49%
  Optimistic 9.98% 9.25% 8.51% 7.27% 7.32% 4.59% 4.13% 4.09% 4.02% 3.94% 4.14% 3.49% 3.93% 3.53% 3.94% 4.21% 5.10% 6.32% 6.62% 6.48% 6.47% 6.53% 6.49% 6.48% 6.39% 6.28% 6.08% 5.85% 5.64% 5.46% 5.27% 5.14% 5.01% 4.92% 4.86% 4.79% 4.74% 4.69% 4.66% 4.63%


 
 
 
Milken Institute
Milken Institute analysis based on MEPS, NHIS, etc.
For more information refer to full report “An Unhealthy America: Economic Burden of Chronic Disease” or visit www.milkeninstitute.org